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. 2024 Jul 31;10(31):eado6864. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.ado6864

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Copyright © 2024 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial License 4.0 (CC BY-NC).

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Fig. 3. — (A) Importance (SHAP values) of climate variables during county-years of extreme abandonment ordered from greatest to least important. (B) Same as (A) but during county-years of extreme yield losses. (C) Influence of the precipitation (Prcp) during August to October (the most important variable on extreme abandonment). Circles are sample points for county-years of extreme abandonment. Black solid line is the fitted line, and shaded area around the solid line indicates 95% confidence interval. (D) Same as (C) but for influence of the precipitation during March to April (the most important variable on extreme yield losses). (E) The width (or numbers) of the chords indicates the fractions (%) of area that suffered extreme abandonment (total 75%) driven by primary climatic extremes (low and high precipitation and cold and warm temperatures) across Kansas from 1926 to 2023. Black dashed lines highlight the most primary climatic drivers. (F) Same as (E) but for fraction of the area that suffered extreme yield losses (total 74%).