Table 2.

Results of phylogenetic generalised least square (PGLS) models. Significant effects are highlighted in bold.

	Estimate	Std. Error	t value	Pr(>|t|)	Res. variable	Scenario	Time period
(Intercept)	207228.6	52990.2	3.9	0.0001	Centroid difference	MIROC	2050
Body length	−1828.1	606.9	−3.0	0.0032	Centroid difference	MIROC	2050
Flight Season	2777.5	5808.9	0.5	0.6336	Centroid difference	MIROC	2050
Habitat Lentic	12534.6	31484.4	0.4	0.6913	Centroid difference	MIROC	2050
Habitat Lotic	17994.4	34691.4	0.5	0.6051	Centroid difference	MIROC	2050
(Intercept)	253527.6	63388.1	4.0	0.0001	Centroid difference	MIROC	2070
Body length	−1767.6	709.5	−2.5	0.0143	Centroid difference	MIROC	2070
Flight Season	1037.7	6738.3	0.1	0.8779	Centroid difference	MIROC	2070
Habitat Lentic	7731.6	39206.2	0.2	0.8440	Centroid difference	MIROC	2070
Habitat Lotic	8406.5	42340.7	0.2	0.8430	Centroid difference	MIROC	2070
(Intercept)	1.9	0.3	5.8	7.23E-08	Relative area change	BCC	2070
Body length	0.0	0.0	0.4	0.6580	Relative area change	BCC	2070
Flight Season	−0.1	0.0	−3.6	0.0005	Relative area change	BCC	2070
Habitat Lentic	0.3	0.2	1.5	0.1337	Relative area change	BCC	2070
Habitat Lotic	0.2	0.2	1.1	0.2877	Relative area change	BCC	2070
(Intercept)	1.2	0.3	3.7	0.0003	Relative area change	MIROC	2050
Body length	0.0	0.0	2.1	0.0344	Relative area change	MIROC	2050
Flight Season	−0.1	0.0	−1.7	0.0844	Relative area change	MIROC	2050
Habitat Lentic	0.3	0.2	1.3	0.2064	Relative area change	MIROC	2050
Habitat Lotic	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.9009	Relative area change	MIROC	2050
(Intercept)	1.7	0.3	6.6	1.63E-09	Relative area change	NOR	2050
Body length	0.0	0.0	0.8	0.4473	Relative area change	NOR	2050
Flight Season	−0.1	0.0	−3.5	0.0007	Relative area change	NOR	2050
Habitat Lentic	0.2	0.1	1.4	0.1539	Relative area change	NOR	2050
Habitat Lotic	0.2	0.2	1.4	0.1510	Relative area change	NOR	2050

Total table containing PGLS results is in Supplementary Material 7.