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. 2024 Aug 1;29(31):2400459. doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.31.2400459

Table. Pertussis incidence before, during and after the COVID-19 pandemic: interrupted time-series analysis, France, 2012–2024 (n = 26,060).

Adjusted IRRa 95% CI p value
Overall number of positive PCRs (n = 26,060)
Pre-COVID-19 Reference
COVID-19 pandemicb 0.09 0.06–0.13 < 0.001
Post-COVID-19 3.66 1.42–9.39 0.007
Number of positive PCRs, by agec
0–5 years (n = 5,716)
Pre-COVID-19 Reference
COVID-19 pandemicb 0.13 0.08–0.18 < 0.001
Post-COVID-19 3.29 1.28–8.48 0.014
6–17 years (n = 6,717)
Pre-COVID-19 Reference
COVID-19 pandemicb 0.09 0.0–0.13 < 0.001
Post-COVID-19 4.58 1.79–11.76 0.002
≥ 18 years (n = 13,430)
Pre-COVID-19 Reference
COVID-19 pandemicb 0.08 0.05–0.11 < 0.001
Post-COVID-19 3.62 1.41–9.29 0.008
Proportion of positive PCRs
Pre-COVID-19 Reference
COVID-19 pandemicb 0.17 0.02–1.49 0.110
Post-COVID-19 1.86 0.19–17.96 0.591
Sensitivity analysisd
Pre-COVID-19 Reference
COVID-19 pandemicb 0.09 0.06–0.13 < 0.001
Post-COVID-19 3.52 1.34–9.27 0.011

CI: confidence interval; IRR: incidence rate ratio.

a Negative binomial model adjusted on seasonality and 3-year pertussis cycles.

b Between April 2020 and December 2023.

c Age data were missing for 197 cases (less than 1%).

d Seasonality-adjusted with calendar month instead of sine/cosine terms.