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Observed (red dots) and modeled (lines) number of syphilis diagnoses (1st row) overall, by sex, and (2nd row) by broad age groups in the study community located in Nunavik (Québec, Canada). The observed number of cases are from the Nunavik syphilis surveillance database and are used as a calibration outcome. The lines correspond to the median of the simulations and the shaded areas to the 90% credible intervals.
