Table 3.
Predictors of probable PTSD and depression at T2—5–6 weeks after the October 7th terror attack (N = 710).
| Predictors | PTSD T2 (ITQ) | Depression T2 (PHS–2) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted OR, 95% CI | p | Adjusted OR, 95% CI | p | |
| Step 1 | ||||
| Probable PTSD/depression at T11 | 4.87 (3.02–7.85) | 0.0001 | 3.57 (2.41–5.32) | 0.0001 |
| Nagelkerke R square = 0.11 | Nagelkerke R square = 0.10 | |||
| Step 2 | ||||
| Probable PTSD/depression at T11 | 4.84 (2.94–8.02) | 0.0001 | 3.42 (2.27–5.15) | 0.0001 |
| Gender2 | 1.89 (1.21–2.87) | 0.01 | 2.27 (1.54–3.32) | 0.001 |
| Age | 0.98 (0.96–1.00) | NS | 0.98 (0.97–1.00) | NS |
| SES | 0.95 (0.78–1.16) | NS | 1.08 (0.90–1.31) | NS |
| Education | 0.96 (0.81–1.11) | NS | 1.12 (0.96–1.13) | NS |
| Marital status3 | 0.68 (43.–1.11) | NS | 1.26 (0.89–1.32) | NS |
| Ethnicity4 | 1.79 (1.07–2.99) | 0.02 | 1.45 (0.87–2.42) | NS |
| Nagelkerke R square = 0.16 | Nagelkerke R square = 0.16 | |||
| Step 3 | ||||
| Probable PTSD/depression at T11 | 4.55 (2.72–7.60) | 0.0001 | 3.31 (2.20–5.08) | 0.0001 |
| Gender2 | 1.88 (1.24–2.87) | 0.01 | 2.29 (1.55–3.39) | 0.0001 |
| Age | 0.98 (0.96–1.99) | 0.04 | 0.99 (0.97–1.00) | NS |
| SES | 0.96 (0.78–1.13) | NS | 1.01 (0.96–1.31) | NS |
| Education | 0.95 (0.81–1.13) | NS | 1.12 (0.87–1.13) | NS |
| Marital status3 | 0.64 (0.43–1.17) | NS | 1.26 (0.80–1.92) | NS |
| Ethnicity4 | 1.91 (1.13–3.22) | 0.01 | 1.50 (0.87–2.51) | NS |
| Direct exposure1 | 2.01 (0.87–4.77) | NS | 1.94 (0.88–4.68) | NS |
| Loved one harmed (murdered/kidnapped/injured)1 | 1.71 (1.04–2.89) | 0.03 | 1.33 (0.84–2.27) | NS |
| Nagelkerke R square = 0.18 | Nagelkerke R square = 0.17 | |||
| Step 4 | ||||
| Probable PTSD/depression at T11 | 4.45 (2.63–7.42) | 0.0001 | 3.11 (2.13–4.82) | 0.001 |
| Gender2 | 1.72 (1.14–2.69) | 0.003 | 2.13 (1.43–3.17) | 0.001 |
| Age | 0.98 (0.96–0.99) | 0.03 | 0.98 (0.97–1.00) | NS |
| SES | 0.93 (0.76–1.12) | NS | 1.05 (0.87–1.27) | NS |
| Education | 0.94 (0.79–1.11) | NS | 1.12 (0.94–1.29) | NS |
| Marital status3 | 0.66 (0.41–1.05) | NS | 1.24 (0.82–1.92) | NS |
| Ethnicity4 | 2.07 (1.21–3.52) | 0.007 | 1.63 (0.72–2.46) | NS |
| Direct exposure1 | 1.91 (0.80–4.62) | NS | 1.82 (0.76–4.82) | NS |
| Harmed loved one (murdered/kidnapped/injured)1 | 1.62 (1.00–2.72) | 0.04 | 1.31 (0.80–2.18) | NS |
| Exposure to PMIE-betrayal | 1.92 (1.26–2.92) | 0.002 | 2.03 (1.37–3.01) | 0.0001 |
| Nagelkerke R square = 0.21 | Nagelkerke R square = 0.22 | |||
ITQ international trauma questionnaire, PHQ-2 patient health questionnaire-2, PMIE potentially morally injurious event, OR odd ratio, CI confidence interval, NS non-significant.
11 = yes, 21 = female, 31 = Married, 41 = Jewish.