Table 1.
Predictiona and summary of the SARIMA model using rabies cases from January 2024 to December 2030.
| SARIMA (2,2,3) (1,0,0)12 | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2027 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2028 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2029 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| RMSEa: 2.67 | MAEb: 2.04 | R2c (%): 94.15 | BICd: 716.27 | AICe: 692.70 | AICcf: 693.25 | |||||||
[aRMSE, Root mean square error; bMAE, Mean absolute error; cR2, Coefficient of determination; dBIC, Bayesian information criterion; eAIC, Akaike information criterion; fAICc, Akaike information criterion with correction].
a
Rounded values.