Table 3.
The Value Evaluation for the Risk Models in Training and Validation Sets
| Variables | AUC | 95% CI | Specificity | Sensitivity | Positive Predictive Value | Negative Predictive Value | P^ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Training Set | |||||||
| Admission NIHSS score | 0.937 | 0.891–0.983 | 0.940 | 0.828 | 0.600 | 0.980 | 0.214 |
| Age (years) | 0.660 | 0.565–0.755 | 0.383 | 0.897 | 0.137 | 0.971 | 0.003 |
| WBC (109/L) | 0.819 | 0.727–0.910 | 0.868 | 0.724 | 0.375 | 0.966 | 0.002 |
| History of COPD (%) | 0.548 | 0.482–0.613 | 0.959 | 0.140 | 0.267 | 0.911 | <0.001 |
| Nomogram | 0.958 | 0.918–0.997 | 0.932 | 0.931 | 0.600 | 0.992 | Reference |
| Validation set | |||||||
| Admission NIHSS score | 0.915 | 0.781–1.000 | 0.948 | 0.909 | 0.625 | 0.991 | 0.090 |
| Age (years) | 0.727 | 0.595–0.860 | 0.448 | 1.000 | 0.147 | 1.000 | <0.001 |
| WBC (109/L) | 0.677 | 0.473–0.881 | 0.741 | 0.636 | 0.189 | 0.956 | 0.003 |
| History of COPD (%) | 0.520 | 0.428–0.611 | 0.948 | 0.091 | 0.143 | 0.917 | <0.001 |
| Nomogram | 0.962 | 0.898–1.000 | 0.957 | 0.909 | 0.667 | 0.991 | Reference |
Note: ^Comparison in Predictive Power of the Nomogram and other models. Bold text indicates a statistically significant difference with a p-value less than 0.05.
Abbreviations: WBC, white blood cell; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.