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. 2024 May 4;63(5):1555–1564. doi: 10.1007/s00394-024-03351-9

Table 2.

Association between log plasma levels of caffeine and its metabolites and the estimated 60 ml espresso cups daily consumed in SKIPOGH (considering all caffeine source)

Caffeine + paraxanthine + theophylline plasma levels a
Model 1 Model 2
Predictors Estimates (95% Confidence Interval) p-value Estimates (95% Confidence Interval) p-value
SKIPOGH 1 (N = 428) Intercept 6.92 (6.51; 7.32) < 10 − 3 7.18 (6.64; 7.71) < 10 − 3
60 ml espresso b 0.03 (0.01; 0.05) 0.007 0.00 (−0.03; 0.04) 0.89
Change of slope −0.62 (−1.08; −0.16) 0.008
Change of slope ˣ 60 ml espresso b 0.16 (0.08; 0.25) < 10 − 3
SKIPOGH 2 (N = 610) Intercept 6.48 (6.14; 6.82) < 10 − 3 6.53 (6.06; 7.00) < 10 − 3
60 ml espresso b 0.03 (0.01; 0.04) < 10 − 3 0.02 (−0.01; 0.05) 0.14
Change of slope −0.19 (−0.58; −0.21) 0.36
Change of slope ˣ 60 ml espresso b 0.06 (0.00; 0.12) 0.04

Model 1 was not adjusted for the change of slope, while Model 2 was adjusted for the change of slope at 5 and 6 cups of 60 ml espresso per day in SKIPOGH1 and SKIPOGH2, respectively. All models were adjusted for age, smoking and time spent between last caffeine intake and blood intake

SKIPOGH 1 and 2 had 3% increase in log plasma levels after each 60 ml espresso cup, ignoring the change of the slope (Model 1). Plasma SKIPOGH1 and 2 levels were 1043 (exp(6.92 + 0.03)) and 672 (exp(6.48 + 0.03)) ng/ml for one 60 ml espresso per day

Considering the change of the slope (Model 2), log plasma levels increased by 16% for 5 60 ml espresso cups in SKIPOGH1 and 6% for 6 in SKIPOGH2. Thus, SKIPOGH1 plasma levels were 1541 (exp(7.18 + 0.16)) after 5 60 ml espresso cups, whereas SKIPOGH2 plasma levels were 728 (exp(6.53 + 0.06)) after 6 cups. In both waves, more espresso intake did not raise log plasma caffeine and its metabolites

aLog transformed

bThe estimated number of 60 ml espresso cups consumed per day

ˣInteraction term