Table 5. Receiver operating characteristic curve of qSOFA, SOFA scores and lactate level to predict in hospital and 6-month mortality.
AUC (95% CI) | P- value | Cutoff value | Sensitivity | Specificity | + PV | –PV | |
SOFA score | |||||||
In hospital mortality | 0.91 (0.89–0.92) | 0.001 | ≥ 7 | %78.1 | %85.9 | %59 | %93.8 |
6-month mortality | 0.83 (0.82–0.85) | 0.001 | ≥ 6 | %60.6 | %86.1 | %77.2 | %73.7 |
APACHE II score | |||||||
In hospital mortality | 0.84 (0.83–0.86) | 0.001 | ≥ 22 | %79.9 | %73.5 | %43.9 | %93.4 |
6-month mortality | 0.82 (0.80–0.84) | 0.001 | ≥ 21 | %67.1 | %79.1 | %71.5 | %75.5 |
qSOFA score | |||||||
In hospital mortality | 0.83 (0.80–0.85) | 0.001* | ≥ 2 | %42.5 | %93.9 | %64.6 | %86.3 |
6-month mortalityv | 0.78 (0.76–0.80) | 0.001* | ≥ 2 | %26.9 | %96.9 | %87 | %62.9 |
Lactate level | |||||||
In hospital mortality | 0.73 (0.70–0.76) | 0.001 | ≥ 2.8 | %67.9 | %69.5 | %36.6 | %89.3 |
6-month mortality | 0.65 (0.63–0.67) | 0.001 | ≥ 2.7 | %53.3 | %69.8 | %57.9 | %65.7 |
APACHE, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation; AUC, Area under the curve; PV, Predictive value; SOFA, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment; qSOFA, Quick sequential organ failure assessment.