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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2024 Aug 26.
Published in final edited form as: Addiction. 2022 Nov 16;118(2):353–364. doi: 10.1111/add.16052

TABLE 4.

Proportion of trends in recent smoking abstinence explained by insurance coverage gains, 2008–09

Pts (95% CI)

Direct associations Indirect associations Total associations Proportion mediated
Recent smoking abstinence
 2010–11
  MH/SUD −0.12 (−1.43, 1.18) −0.02 (−0.12, 0.07) −0.15 (−1.47, 1.17) 16%
  No MH/SUD 0.18 (−0.99, 1.36) −0.05 (−0.12, 0.03) 0.14 (−1.05, 1.32) −34%
  Difference −0.31 (−2.12, 1.50) 0.02 (−0.10, 0.14) −0.29 (−2.10, 1.53) −8%
 2012–13
  MH/SUD 0.59 (−0.81, 1.99) −0.01 (−0.11, 0.10) 0.58 (−0.82, 1.98) −1%
  No MH/SUD 0.41 (−0.88, 1.70) −0.11 (−0.18, −0.03) 0.30 (−0.97, 1.58) −35%
  Difference 0.18 (−1.96, 2.31) 0.10 (−0.04, 0.24) 0.28 (−1.85, 2.40) 36%
 2014–15
  MH/SUD 1.78 (0.53, 3.03) 0.18 (0.09, 0.28) 1.97 (0.72, 3.21) 9%
  No MH/SUD 0.28 (−0.77, 1.34) 0.09 (0.03, 0.15) 0.37 (−0.68, 1.42) 24%
  Difference 1.50 (−0.15, 3.15) 0.10 (−0.02, 0.21) 1.60 (−0.05, 3.25) 6%
 2016–17
  MH/SUD 2.54 (1.16, 3.92) 0.44 (0.32, 0.56) 2.98 (1.58, 4.37) 15%
  No MH/SUD 0.42 (−0.77, 1.61) 0.28 (0.20, 0.35) 0.70 (−0.49, 1.88) 40%
  Difference 2.12 (0.32, 3.92) 0.16 (0.04, 0.28) 2.28 (0.48, 4.08) 7%
 2018–19
  MH/SUD 3.09 (1.73, 4.44) 0.42 (0.31, 0.52) 3.50 (2.15, 4.86) 12%
  No MH/SUD 2.11 (0.80, 3.42) 0.25 (0.18, 0.32) 2.36 (1.05, 3.66) 10%
  Difference 0.98 (−0.97, 2.93) 0.17 (0.05, 0.29) 1.15 (−0.81, 3.11) 15%

Note: 2008–19 National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) data (unweighted sample size: n = 122 179). Structural equation model adjusted for age, sex and race/ethnicity. Analysis limited to subsample of adults smoking at least 100 cigarettes in life-time and at any point in the past year.

MH/SUD = mental health and substance use disorders; CI = confidence interval.