Table 6.
Impact of climate change on the selected variables.
RCP 4.5 |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P |
D1 (2020–2034) |
D2 (2035–2048) |
D3 (2049–2062) |
D4 (2063–2076) |
||||||||
Variable | Coefficient | t-Statistic | Prob. | Coefficient | t-Statistic | Prob. | Coefficient | t-Statistic | Prob. | Coefficient | t-Statistic | Prob. |
lnCR | 16.023 | 3.789 | 0.001 | 12.101 | 2.709 | 0.010 | 2.804 | 1.152 | 0.256 | −6.317 | −1.482 | 0.146 |
lnCM | 1.456 | 3.864 | 0.000 | 0.874 | 1.813 | 0.077 | 1.005 | 2.991 | 0.005 | 0.524 | 0.915 | 0.365 |
lnCS | 6.942 | 1.609 | 0.115 | 1.385 | 0.198 | 0.844 | 3.493 | 0.758 | 0.453 | 8.367 | 1.120 | 0.269 |
lnRE | 33.245 | 2.848 | 0.007 | −23.259 | −1.860 | 0.070 | −4.700 | −0.774 | 0.443 | −1.454 | −0.130 | 0.898 |
lnME | −0.020 | −0.086 | 0.932 | 0.618 | 1.749 | 0.088 | 0.192 | 0.734 | 0.467 | 0.319 | 0.696 | 0.490 |
lnSE | −15.855 | −3.189 | 0.003 | −11.366 | −1.951 | 0.058 | −4.007 | −1.207 | 0.234 | 9.993 | 1.744 | 0.089 |
Tmax | ||||||||||||
lnCR | −0.159 | −8.661 | 0.000 | −0.125 | −3.232 | 0.002 | −0.122 | −2.948 | 0.005 | 0.061 | 2.369 | 0.023 |
lnCM | 0.012 | 6.360 | 0.000 | 0.010 | 2.923 | 0.006 | 0.010 | 3.652 | 0.001 | −0.004 | −2.004 | 0.052 |
lnCS | −0.012 | −0.443 | 0.660 | −0.060 | −1.418 | 0.164 | −0.098 | −3.136 | 0.003 | −0.035 | −1.611 | 0.115 |
lnRE | −0.194 | −3.802 | 0.001 | 0.231 | 2.031 | 0.049 | −0.027 | −0.205 | 0.838 | 0.193 | 2.400 | 0.021 |
lnME | 0.006 | 4.606 | 0.000 | −0.001 | −0.629 | 0.533 | −0.008 | −3.670 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.017 | 0.987 |
lnSE | −0.006 | −0.256 | 0.799 | 0.033 | 0.701 | 0.487 | −0.008 | −0.158 | 0.875 | 0.055 | 1.770 | 0.084 |
Tmin | ||||||||||||
lnCR | −0.103 | −3.139 | 0.003 | −0.070 | −2.375 | 0.022 | −0.095 | −2.552 | 0.015 | 0.104 | 4.558 | 0.000 |
lnCM | 0.006 | 3.325 | 0.002 | 0.008 | 3.654 | 0.001 | 0.005 | 2.170 | 0.036 | −0.007 | −4.049 | 0.000 |
lnCS | −0.011 | −0.539 | 0.593 | −0.067 | −2.337 | 0.024 | −0.069 | −2.911 | 0.006 | −0.025 | −1.479 | 0.147 |
lnRE | −0.228 | −2.077 | 0.044 | 0.049 | 0.529 | 0.600 | −0.009 | −0.077 | 0.939 | 0.046 | 0.659 | 0.513 |
lnME | 0.004 | 2.523 | 0.016 | −0.002 | −1.422 | 0.162 | −0.007 | −4.081 | 0.000 | −0.002 | −1.323 | 0.193 |
lnSE | −0.063 | −1.586 | 0.120 | −0.008 | −0.229 | 0.820 | −0.006 | −0.136 | 0.893 | 0.062 | 2.289 | 0.027 |
RCP 8.5 | ||||||||||||
P | ||||||||||||
lnCR | 6.366 | 1.363 | 0.180 | 5.031 | 1.242 | 0.221 | 4.771 | 1.127 | 0.266 | 1.516 | 0.434 | 0.666 |
lnCM | 1.101 | 1.889 | 0.066 | 0.627 | 1.839 | 0.073 | −2.132 | −4.985 | 0.000 | 0.079 | 0.178 | 0.859 |
lnCS | −4.709 | −0.557 | 0.581 | −7.999 | −1.950 | 0.058 | −1.562 | −0.284 | 0.778 | −9.024 | −1.833 | 0.074 |
lnRE | −30.355 | −2.607 | 0.013 | −33.565 | −2.844 | 0.007 | 5.887 | 0.497 | 0.622 | −35.671 | −4.750 | 0.000 |
lnME | 0.210 | 0.499 | 0.621 | 0.241 | 1.065 | 0.293 | 0.961 | 3.138 | 0.003 | −0.162 | −0.526 | 0.602 |
lnSE | −3.258 | −0.524 | 0.603 | −14.873 | −3.064 | 0.004 | −1.342 | −0.255 | 0.800 | −1.691 | −0.408 | 0.686 |
Tmax | ||||||||||||
lnCR | −0.047 | −1.296 | 0.202 | 0.292 | 6.724 | 0.000 | −0.191 | −10.764 | 0.000 | −0.102 | −3.183 | 0.003 |
lnCM | −0.008 | −2.453 | 0.018 | −0.006 | −2.348 | 0.024 | 0.007 | 4.204 | 0.000 | 0.004 | 0.996 | 0.325 |
lnCS | 0.050 | 1.191 | 0.240 | 0.019 | 0.741 | 0.463 | −0.062 | −3.454 | 0.001 | −0.047 | −1.267 | 0.212 |
lnRE | 0.003 | 0.030 | 0.976 | 0.188 | 1.342 | 0.187 | −0.253 | −6.296 | 0.000 | −0.462 | −7.454 | 0.000 |
lnME | 0.005 | 2.383 | 0.022 | −0.007 | −3.372 | 0.002 | −0.005 | −5.189 | 0.000 | −0.002 | −1.244 | 0.221 |
lnSE | 0.036 | 0.818 | 0.418 | 0.117 | 2.263 | 0.029 | 0.027 | 1.379 | 0.175 | 0.046 | 1.301 | 0.200 |
Tmin | ||||||||||||
lnCR | −0.055 | −1.928 | 0.061 | 0.044 | 1.678 | 0.101 | −0.128 | −8.477 | 0.000 | −0.032 | −1.432 | 0.160 |
lnCM | −0.005 | −2.134 | 0.039 | 0.003 | 1.261 | 0.214 | −0.004 | −2.305 | 0.026 | 0.000 | −0.149 | 0.882 |
lnCS | 0.033 | 1.421 | 0.163 | −0.027 | −1.547 | 0.129 | −0.027 | −2.036 | 0.048 | −0.056 | −2.109 | 0.041 |
lnRE | −0.015 | −0.176 | 0.861 | 0.021 | 0.257 | 0.798 | −0.137 | −3.634 | 0.001 | −0.404 | −7.520 | 0.000 |
lnME | 0.002 | 1.081 | 0.286 | −0.009 | −5.611 | 0.000 | −0.003 | −1.770 | 0.084 | −0.001 | −0.690 | 0.494 |
lnSE | 0.037 | 1.100 | 0.278 | 0.061 | 1.959 | 0.057 | 0.014 | 0.822 | 0.416 | −0.040 | −1.521 | 0.136 |
For variable definitions, please refer to Table 1.