Table 2.

Budget Impact Analysis FCB.

	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027	TOTAL
Population age 65+1	782,326	802,709	823,623	867,100	887,896	4,163,654
Projected hip fractures2	3,056	3,135	3,217	3,387	3,468	16,262
€ intervention3	222,808	228,613	234,570	246,952	252,875	1,185,819
Functional Decline: Projected hip fractures NOT returned to baseline functionality
# Pre FCB4	1,803	1,850	1,898	1,998	2,046	9,595
# Post FCB5	1,253	1,285	1,319	1,389	1,422	6,667
# avoided	550	564	579	610	624	2,927
€ Avoided 6	676,857	694,492	712,587	750,202	768,195	3,602,333
Net Effect (€)7	454,049	465,879	478,017	503,250	515,320	2,416,515

¹ Scenario with moderate net migration increase[32].

² 0.39% of Population[32]: average hip fracture in the over 60 population derived from NOCA[33-35].

³ Cost per patient estimated in Scenario analysis 2 (€72.61) applied to hip fractures estimates.

⁴ Share of hip fractures returning (41%) and not returning (59%) to baseline functionality without FCB[12].

⁵ Share of hip fractures returning (59%) and not returning (41%) to baseline functionality with FCB[12].

⁶ Annual cost of functional decline per patient equal to €1,230.65 (calculated from Bash & Kerr[36].

⁷ Derived as cost avoided minus cost of intervention.