Table 3.
Price premiums and HPAI outbreaks.
| Dependent variable: | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egg |
Turkey |
Chicken |
||||||
| Variables | Variables | Variables | ||||||
| 0.015⁎⁎⁎ (0.001) |
0.002⁎⁎⁎ (0.000) |
0.003⁎⁎⁎ (0.000) |
||||||
| 0.027* (0.011) |
0.083⁎⁎ (0.024) |
0.153⁎⁎ (0.050) |
||||||
| Brown | 0.125⁎⁎⁎ (0.004) |
0.132⁎⁎⁎ (0.005) |
Breast | 0.586⁎⁎⁎ (0.004) |
0.599⁎⁎⁎ (0.004) |
Breast | 0.310⁎⁎⁎ (0.003) |
0.308⁎⁎⁎ (0.003) |
| Grade (AA) | 0.012† (0.006) |
0.030⁎⁎⁎ (0.007) |
Whole | −0.007 (0.005) |
−0.009 (0.006) | Whole | 0.160⁎⁎⁎ (0.003) |
0.150⁎⁎⁎ (0.003) |
| Cage-free | 0.690⁎⁎⁎ (0.006) |
0.729⁎⁎⁎ (0.007) |
Ground | 0.370⁎⁎⁎ (0.004) |
0.365⁎⁎⁎ (0.004) |
Wings | 0.784⁎⁎⁎ (0.004) |
0.764⁎⁎⁎ (0.004) |
| Omega | 0.676⁎⁎⁎ (0.005) |
0.714⁎⁎⁎ (0.006) |
Boneless | 0.322⁎⁎⁎ (0.007) |
0.319⁎⁎⁎ (0.008) |
Drumsticks | 0.088⁎⁎⁎ (0.003) |
0.095⁎⁎⁎ (0.003) |
| Vegetarian-Fed | 0.617⁎⁎⁎ (0.007) |
0.659⁎⁎⁎ (0.008) |
Tender | 0.330⁎⁎⁎ (0.005) |
0.324⁎⁎⁎ (0.006) |
Boneless | 0.713⁎⁎⁎ (0.003) |
0.717⁎⁎⁎ (0.003) |
| Organic | 0.993⁎⁎⁎ (0.007) |
1.030⁎⁎⁎ (0.008) |
Frozen | −0.645⁎⁎⁎ (0.004) | −0.652⁎⁎⁎ (0.005) |
Tender | 0.739⁎⁎⁎ (0.003) |
0.738⁎⁎⁎ (0.004) |
| Large Size | 0.204⁎⁎⁎ (0.008) |
0.229⁎⁎⁎ (0.009) |
Lean93 | 0.248⁎⁎⁎ (0.003) |
0.252⁎⁎⁎ (0.004) |
Frozen | −0.211⁎⁎⁎ (0.003) |
−0.219⁎⁎⁎ (0.003) |
| X-large Size | 0.266⁎⁎⁎ (0.009) |
0.297⁎⁎⁎ (0.010) |
Organic | 0.810⁎⁎⁎ (0.003) |
0.822⁎⁎⁎ (0.003) |
|||
| Brown | 0.002 (0.007) |
−0.001⁎⁎ (0.000) |
Breast | −0.134⁎⁎⁎ (0.021) |
−0.002⁎⁎⁎ (0.000) |
Breast | 0.020 (0.066) |
0.000 (0.000) |
| Grade (AA) | 0.001 (0.008) |
−0.003⁎⁎ (0.001) |
Whole | −0.051† (0.027) |
0.000 (0.000) |
Whole | 0.195* (0.085) |
0.002⁎⁎⁎ (0.000) |
| Cage-free | −0.026⁎⁎ (0.008) |
−0.007⁎⁎⁎ (0.001) |
Ground | 0.025 (0.024) |
0.001⁎⁎ (0.001) |
Wings | 0.272*. (0.115) |
0.003⁎⁎⁎ (0.000) |
| Omega | −0.025⁎⁎⁎ (0.006) |
−0.007⁎⁎⁎ (0.001) |
Boneless | 0.039 (0.036) |
0.001 (0.001) |
Drumsticks | −0.124† (0.068) |
−0.001⁎⁎⁎ (0.000) |
| Veg-Fed | −0.027⁎⁎ (0.008) |
−0.008⁎⁎⁎ (0.001) |
Tender | −0.102⁎⁎⁎ (0.029) |
0.001 (0.000) |
Boneless | −0.010 (0.068) |
−0.001⁎⁎ (0.000) |
| Organic | −0.018† (0.009) |
−0.007⁎⁎⁎ (0.001) |
Frozen | 0.061* (0.026) |
0.001⁎⁎ (0.000) |
Tender | 0.077 (0.088) |
0.000 (0.000) |
| Large | 0.003 (0.011) |
−0.006⁎⁎⁎ (0.001) |
Lean93 | −0.056⁎⁎⁎ (0.019) |
−0.001⁎⁎ (0.000) |
Frozen | 0.485⁎⁎⁎ (0.130) |
0.002⁎⁎⁎ (0.000) |
| X-large Size | 0.012 (0.013) |
−0.007⁎⁎⁎ (0.001) |
Organic | −0.092 (0.057) |
−0.002⁎⁎⁎ (0.000) |
|||
| Constant | −0.576⁎⁎⁎ (0.024) | −0.485⁎⁎⁎ (0.024) | Constant | 0.016 (0.021) | 0.117⁎⁎⁎ (0.022) | Constant | −0.231⁎⁎⁎ (0.013) | −0.120⁎⁎⁎ (0.013) |
| Other covariates | Other covariates | Other covariates | ||||||
| Region FE | Yes | Yes | Region FE | Yes | Yes | Region FE | Yes | Yes |
| Month FE | Yes | Yes | Month FE | Yes | Yes | Month FE | Yes | Yes |
| COVID-19 | Yes | Yes | COVID-19 | Yes | Yes | COVID-19 | Yes | Yes |
| Exchange rate | Yes | Yes | Exchange rate | Yes | Yes | Exchange rate | Yes | Yes |
| CPI | Yes | Yes | CPI | Yes | Yes | CPI | Yes | Yes |
| #Observations | 33,227 | 33,227 | #Observations | 40,174 | 40,174 | #Observations | 149,472 | 149,472 |
| Region | 8 | 8 | Region | 11 | 11 | Region | 8 | 8 |
| R-squared | 0.759 | 0.768 | R-squared | 0.784 | 0.785 | R-squared | 0.691 | 0.694 |
| F-Stat. | 2,627⁎⁎⁎ | 2,789⁎⁎⁎ | F-Stat. | 5,371⁎⁎⁎ | 5,414⁎⁎⁎ | F-Stat. | 10,134⁎⁎⁎ | 10,289⁎⁎⁎ |
Note: denotes either or . represents the weekly count of affected birds measured in million. represent Google Search Volume for the term “HPAI” in the US. Robust standard errors are in parentheses.
p ≤ 0.05.
p ≤ 0.01.
p ≤ 0.001.
p ≤ 0.10.
Source: Own calculation.