Table 2.
Analysis | Endpoint | Motivation | Result | Interpretation |
---|---|---|---|---|
Win ratio | Hierarchy of death → RRT → arrhythmia | Combine mortality with two outcomes that were previously suggested with dopamine use (namely possible renal protective effects and possible higher arrhythmia occurrence | Less wins for dopamine (WR = 0.79 (95% CI 0.68–0.92; p = 0.003) for untied comparisons. Results consistent for cardiogenic and septic shock groups | Dopamine was associated with less wins than norepinephrine suggesting, under this approach, that it was inferior to norepinephrine. Results of WR, however, are not easily translatable to clinicians |
Hierarchy of death → ICU LOS) | Combine mortality and ICU LOS in a single endpoint | Neutral results (WR = 0.96; 95% CI 0.86–1.08; p = 0.51) | Using this hierarchy under a WR approach, results were neutral hence corroborating with the idea that arrhythmia was the larger driver factor in the first hierarchy approach | |
Bayesian reanalysis for shock type | 28-day mortality | Reassess the main trial while adjusting for type of shock an interaction | No clear interaction for shock type and type of vasopressor; however, there was a high probability of harm with dopamine (0.95), with a median increase in mortality of 0.04 (95% HDI from − 0.01 to 0.09) | A simple Bayesian reanalysis under a neutral prior highlight that there was a high probability of harm with dopamine |
Composite endpoint | Reassess the main trial using a composite endpoint of death, RRT, and arrhythmia while adjusting for type of shock an interaction | No clear interaction for shock type and type of vasopressor; however, there was a very high probability of harm with dopamine (0.99), with a median increase in endpoint of 0.09 (95% HDI from 0.04 to 0.12) | Very high probability that dopamine was harmful was harmful, which should suffice by itself as evidence against the drug | |
DAFICU28 | Reassess the main trial using a more granular endpoint that has become common over last decade while adjusting for type of shock an interaction | There was a suggestion of association between type of shock and DAFICU, with the highest probability on cardiogenic shock (0.92). Overall, dopamine was associated with − 0.7 DAFICU28 (95% HDI − 1.58 to 0.92 days) | There was a suggestion for the interaction between vasopressor type and DAFICU28, but overall signal for harm is sustained | |
Risk-based HTE assessment | 28-day mortality | Assess risk-based HTE using customized APACHE II predictions for 28-day mortality | No clear interaction between predicted APACHE II quartiles and outcomes. Results suggesting harm of dopamine similar to analysis stratified by type of shock | No clear risk-based HTE for primary endpoint for dopamine versus dopamine |
Composite endpoint | Assess risk-based HTE using customized APACHE II predictions for composite endpoint | No clear interaction between predicted APACHE II quartiles and outcomes. Results suggesting harm of dopamine similar to analysis stratified by type of shock | No clear risk-based HTE for composite endpoint for dopamine versus norepinephrine | |
DAFICU28 | Assess risk-based HTE using customized APACHE II predictions for DAFICU | Risk-based HTE was probable, with a suggestion of greatest harm for dopamine in the highest quartile of APACHE II predictions | Using a more granular endpoint, some suggestion of risk-based HTE can be found in SOAP II, with increasing harm for dopamine as illness severity increased | |
Effect-based HTE assessment | Composite endpoint | Use a causal HTE model adjusted for key covariates to try to obtain more information regarding possible THE | A model recommendation recommended norepinephrine for most patients and did not recommend dopamine | A simple S-learner recommended norepinephrine for most patients in the test set; no specific combination of possible mediators resulted in a recommendation favouring dopamine |
RRT, Renal replacement therapy; DAFICU28, Days alive and free of ICU at 28 days; WR, Win Ratio; THE, Heterogeneity in treatment effects