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. 2024 Sep 18;33(173):240044. doi: 10.1183/16000617.0044-2024

TABLE 4.

Effect estimates and evidence for the social care sector, grouped by outcome

Outcome Study (country) Subgroups Wave one
January–November 2020
Wave two
December 2020–May 2021
Wave three
June–November 2021
Wave four
December 2021 onwards
SARS-CoV-2 infection Airoldi et al. [15] (Italy) Nursing home workers # NA NA NA
Ballering et al. [24] (Netherlands) NA NA NA NA
Beale et al. [16] (UK) Social care 1.6 (1.3–1.9) 1.2 (0.9–1.5) 1.2 (1.0–1.4)
Biarnés-Martínez et al. [25] (Spain) NA NA NA NA
Bonde et al. [17] (Denmark) Social work 1.0 (0.8–1.2) 1.3 (1.2–1.3) 1.2 (1.2–1.3) 1.4 (1.3–1.4)
Residential care 3.1 (2.3–4.0) 1.3 (1.2–1.4) 0.7 (0.6–0.8) 1.0 (0.9–1.0)
Green and Semple [18] (UK) Social care 1.4 (1.2–1.7) NA NA
Magnusson et al. [19] (Norway) Childcare worker 0.9 (0.8–1.0) 1.3 (1.3–1.3) NA NA
Nwaru et al. [20] (Sweden) NA NA NA NA
Reuter et al. [21] (Germany) Geriatric care 4.6 (2.0–9.0) NA NA NA
Education and social work 1.2 (0.8–2.0) NA NA NA
Rhodes et al. [22] (UK) Social care 1.3 (1.2–1.4) 1.0 (0.9–1.0) 1.1 (1.0–1.1)
Verbeeck et al. [23] (Belgium) Residential care # NA NA NA
Hospitalisation for COVID-19 Bonde et al. [26] (Denmark) Special teaching professionals 1.1 (0.8–1.6)
Nursing aides (institutions) 1.4 (1.1–1.9)
Homecare aides, private homes 1.2 (0.9–1.6)
Nursing aides (private homes) 1.7 (1.2–2.3)
Teachers/daycare assistants: 0–3 years 1.2 (0.9–1.8)
Teachers/daycare assistants: 4–7 years 1.6 (1.1–2.3)
Teachers/daycare assistants: 7–15 years 0.9 (0.4–2.1)
Nursing professionals 1.8 (1.2–2.8)
Family daycare workers 1.0 (0.6–1.7)
Social work and counselling professionals 0.9 (0.4–2.1)
Cleaners 1.4 (0.8–2.4)
Primary school teachers 1.1 (0.4–2.5)
Kitchen helpers 2.0 (0.7–5.6)
Physiotherapists 1.0 (0.4–2.5)
Mutambudzi et al. [27] (England) Social care workers 2.13 (1.25–3.63) NA NA NA
COVID-19 mortality Billingsley et al. [28] (Sweden) Care workers 0.74 (0.5–1.3) NA NA NA
Cherrie et al. [29] (UK) Social care 1.6 (1.4–1.8) 1.5 (1.3–1.6) 1.2 (1.0–1.4) 1.3 (1.0–1.6)
Matz et al. [30] (UK) Social care # # # NA
Nafilyan et al. [31] (UK) Social care (male) 1.2 (1.0–1.5) NA NA NA
Social care (female) 1.2 (1.0–1.4) NA NA NA

Pale red: evidence of moderately elevated risks; green: evidence of reduced risks; blue: unclear whether risks are reduced or increased; yellow: varies by subgroup. COVID-19: coronavirus disease 2019; NA: not applicable; SARS-CoV-2: severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. #: relative effect estimates not reported.