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. 2024 Jan 8;31(5):963–985. doi: 10.1080/13218719.2023.2242437

Table 7.

Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value metrics for the measures at different cut-offs at 360 days at risk.

Cut-off Recidivism
Any
Violent
 Non-violent
Sens. Spec. PPV NPV Sens. Spec. PPV NPV Sens. Spec. PPV NPV
LSI–R:SVa                        
 ≤5 74.82 44.00 64.56 56.16 82.57 43.24 43.01 82.70 72.68 40.74 58.05 56.92
LS/RNRa                        
 ≤19 92.29 23.08 61.34 69.36 95.18 19.51 33.10 90.64 94.59 22.22 58.85 77.73
 ≤29 57.22 73.08 73.76 56.36 76.44 73.17 54.38 88.13 60.80 74.07 73.39 61.64
HCR–20V3                        
 Mod: High 62.27 50.00 48.16 63.98 76.21 51.85 26.75 90.43 66.31 50.00 47.87 68.18
 ≤29 31.37 70.59 43.31 58.94 40.88 78.26 28.04 86.47 34.20 70.59 42.94 62.38
H-Scale                        
 16b 60.60 65.22 63.66 62.21 68.63 58.82 33.07 86.35 61.52 62.50 58.76 65.16

Note: LSI–R:SV = Level of Service Inventory–Revised: Screening Version; LS/RNR = Level of Service/Risk, Need, Responsivity; HCR–20V3 = Historical, Clinical, Risk Management 20–Version 3. Sens. = sensitivity; Spec. = specificity; PPV = positive predictive value; NPV = negative predictive value; Mod = moderate.

aCut-off scores corresponding to low risk are not included due to few/no women assessed as low risk. bA cut-off score of 16 or below was used to explore test statistics for the H-Scale, reflecting the sample mean.