Table 2. Results of segmented regression models, reported in consultation/procedure rates per 10 000 population, (2014 age standardised).

	GP consultations		Physiotherapy consultations		Specialist consultations		Surgical procedures
	Value (CI 95%)	P value	Value (CI 95%)	P value	Value (CI 95%)	P value	Value (CI 95%)	P value
Variable
Trend over time	18.17 (8.99 to 27.35)	P<0.000	−48.73 (−67.23 to −30.22)	P<0.000	0.43 (0.15 to 0.71)	P=0.003	−0.01 (−0.08 to 0.01)	P=0.871
Immediate intervention effect	−390.79 (−564.73 to −216.86)	P<0.000	n/a	n/a	−3.95 (−9.88 to 1.98)	P=0.192	−0.001 (−0.01 to 0.01)	P=0.653
Trend change pre intervention/post intervention	n/a	n/a	0.47 (−0.62 to 1.58)	P=0.477	−0.16 (−0.76 to 0.45)	P=0.656	n/a	n/a
Seasonal change	−413.39 (−474.56 to −352.41)	P<0.000	−1403.56 (−1674.24 to −1132.88)	P<0.000	−17.10 (−20.53 to −13.67)	P<0.000	−1.41 (−2.35 to −0.48)	P<0.000
Constant	4061.99 (4045.01 to 4078.97)	P<0.000	5965.44 (5830.41 to 6100.47)	P<0.000	83.75 (81.65 to 85.86)	P<0.000	7.59 (7.19 to 8.00)	P<0.000

Value=model estimated consultations/procedures per 10 000 population.

GPgeneral practitioner