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. 2024 Oct 3;15:8550. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-52668-w

Table 2.

Prior vaccination and documented SARS-CoV-2 infection among individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 according to infecting lineage

Exposure Cases, n/N (%) Odds ratio (95% CI), JN.1 vs. non-JN.1 infection
S-gene detected (non-BA.2.86 lineage) S-gene target failure (BA.2.86-derived lineage) Unadjusteda Adjustedb
N = 4614 N = 3080
Receipt of updated COVID-19 vaccinesc
  No XBB.1.5 (monovalent) vaccine doses 4041 (87.6) 2579 (83.7) ref. ref.
  Any XBB.1.5 (monovalent) vaccine doses 573 (12.4) 501 (16.3) 1.23 (1.11, 1.35) 1.14 (1.01, 1.28)
  No BA.4/BA.5 (bivalent) vaccine doses 3205 (69.5) 1996 (64.8) ref. ref.
  Any BA.4/BA.5 (bivalent) vaccine doses 1409 (30.5) 1084 (35.2) 1.14 (1.06, 1.23) 1.10 (1.01, 1.20)
  0 Omicron-targeted vaccine doses 3096 (67.1) 1927 (62.6) ref. ref.
  Any Omicron-targeted vaccine 1518 (32.9) 1153 (37.4) 1.13 (1.05, 1.22) 1.12 (1.03, 1.21)
  Both BA.4/BA.5 (bivalent) and XBB1.5 (monovalent) vaccines 464 (10.1) 432 (14.0) 1.43 (1.15, 1.43) 1.28 (1.13, 1.45)
Number of vaccine doses received
  0 vaccine doses 569 (12.3) 272 (8.8) ref. ref.
  1 vaccine dose 122 (2.6) 66 (2.1) 1.08 (0.83, 1.41) 1.05 (0.80, 1.38)
  2 vaccine doses 901 (19.5) 564 (18.3) 1.16 (1.01, 1.34) 1.10 (0.94, 1.28)
  3 vaccine doses 1453 (31.5) 1011 (32.8) 1.27 (1.11, 1.45) 1.20 (1.04, 1.39)
  4 vaccine doses 824 (17.9) 570 (18.5) 1.25 (1.08, 1.44) 1.23 (1.05, 1.44)
  5 vaccine doses 415 (9.0) 331 (10.7) 1.34 (1.14, 1.58) 1.43 (1.20, 1.71)
  6 vaccine doses 285 (6.2) 231 (7.5) 1.32 (1.11, 1.58) 1.57 (1.28, 1.91)
  ≥7 vaccine doses 45 (1.0) 35 (1.1) 1.32 (0.93, 1.88) 1.69 (1.16, 2.45)
Timing of prior vaccinationc
  No doses received 569 (12.3) 272 (8.8) ref. ref.
  Last vaccine dose within <3 months 527 (11.4) 436 (14.2) 1.18 (1.07, 1.31) 1.05 (0.80, 1.38)
  Last vaccine dose within 3–6 months 79 (1.7) 92 (3.0) 1.35 (1.10, 1.66) 1.09 (0.79, 1.52)
  Last vaccine dose >6 months prior 3439 (74.5) 2280 (74.0) 0.98 (0.90, 1.06) 0.97 (0.81, 1.17)
Documented prior infection
  0 documented infections 2505 (54.3) 1506 (48.9) ref. ref.
  Any prior infection 2109 (45.7) 1574 (51.1) 1.14 (1.06, 1.22) 1.09 (1.02, 1.18)
  1 documented infection 1753 (38.0) 1269 (41.2) 1.11 (1.03, 1.20) 1.08 (1.00, 1.17)
  2 documented infections 332 (7.2) 278 (9.0) 1.17 (1.03, 1.33) 1.14 (0.99, 1.30)
  ≥3 documented infections 24 (0.5) 27 (0.9) 1.37 (0.93, 2.00) 1.30 (0.89, 1.91)

Data encompass the primary analytic cohort (N = 7694 individuals), comprised of individuals testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 from tests undertaken in outpatient settings between 1 December, 2023 and 30 January, 2024 which were processed via TaqPath COVID-19 Combo Kit assays, who belonged to KPSC health plans for at least 1 year prior to their index test date.

aUnadjusted odds ratios are computed via conditional logistic regression models matching on week of testing alone.

bAdjusted odds ratios are computed via conditional logistic regression models matching on week of testing and controlling for age, sex, race/ethnicity, body mass index, history of cigarette smoking, prior-year healthcare utilization across all settings, Charlson comorbidity index, and median household income within cases’ census tract according to the categorization scheme indicated in Table 1. Missing values were addressed via multiple imputation, with results pooled across five pseudo-dataset replicates.

cAnalyses of vaccine type and timing adjust for a number of monovalent wild-type (Wuhan-Hu-1) vaccine doses received.