TABLE 4.

Performance characteristics of predictive models for HCC risk stratification in patients with cirrhosis

	Overall, N = 868 (63 HCC)		1-year, N = 868 (11 HCC)		2-year, N = 868 (26 HCC)
	C-index	p	C-index	p	C-index	p
Risk scorea	0.70 (0.62–0.77)		0.76 (0.59–0.93)		0.74 (0.62–0.85)
Bile acid (3 groups: tertile) + risk score	0.74 (0.67–0.81)	0.05	0.83 (0.72–0.95)	0.03	0.80 (0.71–0.89)	0.001

^a Contains the following predictors: age, gender, AFP, platelets, ALT, albumin, BMI, smoking, alcohol, and HCV status.

Abbreviations: AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; BMI, body mass index.