TABLE 4.
1(predictor = p‐tau217) | 2(predictor = Aβ42/40) | 3(predictor = p‐tau181) | 4(predictor = p‐tau231) | 5(predictor = GFAP) | 6(predictor = Nfl) | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Predictors | Estimates | CI | p | Estimates | CI | p | Estimates | CI | p | Estimates | CI | p | Estimates | CI | p | Estimates | CI | p |
Intercept | 0.00 | −0.14 to −0.14 | 0.978 | −0.01 | −0.15 to −0.12 | 0.838 | −0.00 | −0.14 to −0.13 | 0.944 | −0.01 | −0.15 to −0.13 | 0.921 | −0.01 | −0.15 to −0.13 | 0.883 | −0.00 | −0.14 to −0.14 | 0.989 |
Male | −0.52 | −0.64 to −0.39 | <0.001 | −0.53 | −0.65 to −0.40 | <0.001 | −0.51 | −0.63 to −0.39 | <0.001 | −0.53 | −0.65 to −0.40 | <0.001 | −0.52 | −0.65 to −0.40 | <0.001 | −0.53 | −0.65 to −0.41 | <0.001 |
No BA | −0.20 | −0.33 to −0.06 | 0.005 | −0.19 | −0.33 to −0.05 | 0.008 | −0.19 | −0.33 to −0.06 | 0.006 | −0.19 | −0.33 to −0.05 | 0.006 | −0.19 | −0.33 to −0.05 | 0.007 | −0.20 | −0.34 to −0.06 | 0.006 |
Practice | 0.09 | 0.07 to −0.12 | <0.001 | 0.10 | 0.07 to −0.12 | <0.001 | 0.09 | 0.07 to −0.12 | <0.001 | 0.10 | 0.07 to −0.12 | <0.001 | 0.10 | 0.07 to −0.12 | <0.001 | 0.09 | 0.06 to −0.12 | <0.001 |
WRAT3 | 0.02 | 0.01 to −0.03 | <0.001 | 0.02 | 0.01 to −0.03 | <0.001 | 0.02 | 0.01 to −0.03 | <0.001 | 0.02 | 0.01 to −0.03 | <0.001 | 0.02 | 0.01 to −0.03 | <0.001 | 0.02 | 0.01 to −0.03 | <0.001 |
c60age | −0.04 | −0.05 to −0.03 | <0.001 | −0.04 | −0.05 to −0.03 | <0.001 | −0.04 | −0.05 to −0.03 | <0.001 | −0.04 | −0.05 to −0.03 | <0.001 | −0.04 | −0.05 to −0.03 | <0.001 | −0.04 | −0.05 to −0.03 | <0.001 |
c60age2 | −0.00 | −0.00 to −0.00 | 0.077 | −0.00 | −0.00 to −0.00 | 0.015 | −0.00 | −0.00 to −0.00 | 0.037 | −0.00 | −0.00 to −0.00 | 0.029 | −0.00 | −0.00 to −0.00 | 0.015 | −0.00 | −0.00 to −0.00 | 0.005 |
c60age3 | −0.00 | −0.00 to −0.00 | <0.001 | −0.00 | −0.00 to −0.00 | <0.001 | −0.00 | −0.00 to −0.00 | <0.001 | −0.00 | −0.00 to −0.00 | <0.001 | −0.00 | −0.00 to −0.00 | 0.009 | −0.00 | −0.00 to −0.00 | <0.001 |
z p‐tau217 | −0.00 | −0.03 to −0.03 | 0.875 | |||||||||||||||
c60age × z p‐tau217 | −0.01 | −0.01 to −0.00 | 0.002 | |||||||||||||||
z p‐tau217 × c60age2 | −0.00 | −0.00 to −0.00 | 0.041 | |||||||||||||||
z ab4240 | −0.01 | −0.07 to −0.05 | 0.739 | |||||||||||||||
c60age × z ab4240 | 0.01 | 0.00 to −0.01 | 0.016 | |||||||||||||||
z p‐tau181 | −0.03 | −0.07 to −0.01 | 0.199 | |||||||||||||||
c60age × z p‐tau181 | −0.01 | −0.01 to −0.00 | <0.001 | |||||||||||||||
z p‐tau231 | −0.00 | −0.05 to −0.05 | 0.914 | |||||||||||||||
c60age × z p‐tau231 | −0.00 | −0.01 to −0.00 | 0.034 | |||||||||||||||
z GFAP | 0.02 | −0.03 to −0.08 | 0.356 | |||||||||||||||
c60age × z GFAP | −0.00 | −0.01 to −0.00 | 0.544 | |||||||||||||||
z GFAP × c60age2 | −0.00 | −0.00 to −0.00 | 0.001 | |||||||||||||||
z NfL | −0.02 | −0.09 to −0.04 | 0.464 | |||||||||||||||
Random effects | ||||||||||||||||||
σ2 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | ||||||||||||
τ00 | 0.29Reggieid | 0.29Reggieid | 0.28Reggieid | 0.29Reggieid | 0.29Reggieid | 0.28Reggieid | ||||||||||||
τ11 | 0.00Reggieid.c60age | 0.00Reggieid.c60age | 0.00Reggieid.c60age | 0.00Reggieid.c60age | 0.00Reggieid.c60age | 0.00Reggieid.c60age | ||||||||||||
ρ01 | −0.00Reggieid | −0.00Reggieid | −0.04Reggieid | −0.02Reggieid | 0.02Reggieid | −0.01Reggieid | ||||||||||||
ICC | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.76 | ||||||||||||
N | 412Reggieid | 412Reggieid | 408Reggieid | 412Reggieid | 412Reggieid | 412Reggieid | ||||||||||||
Observations | 1973 | 1973 | 1951 | 1973 | 1973 | 1973 | ||||||||||||
Marginal R 2/conditional R 2 | 0.352/0.842 | 0.333/0.842 | 0.349/0.841 | 0.333/0.841 | 0.339/0.841 | 0.332/0.841 | ||||||||||||
AICc | 2600.4 | 2631.2 | 2594.6a | 2632.2 | 2609.6 | 2634.4 | ||||||||||||
AICc | −32.5 | −1.73 | −13.5 | −0.66 | −23.3 | 1.48 |
Notes: Base model includes the age fixed effects up to cubic polynomial (retaining highest order significant term and lower order terms; centered at age 60 (c60)), random effects and covariates: sex, practice, education (BA bachelors degree), Wide Range Achievement Test‐III (WRAT3) reading score. The change in Akaike information criterion AICc is calculated relative to the base model; negative numbers indicate a better fit in the expanded model. Bold values are statistically significant. ICC is the intraclass correlation coefficient; Reggieid is the person‐level study number.
There are four missing baseline p‐tau181. The smallest AICc is Model 1, 2575.9 (ΔAICc = −32.3); followed by Model 5, 2584.7 (ΔAICc = −23.5); and Model 3, 2594.6 (ΔAICc = −13.5) when we compared the model results in the same data sets.