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. 2024 Jul 2;59(11):1909–1918. doi: 10.1007/s00127-024-02718-x

Table 2.

Summary of the Joinpoint regression analysis for trends in suicide rates by rurality and deprivation for Japanese men and women aged 20 or above, 2009–2022

Segment 1 JP (95% CI) Segment 2 JP (95% CI) Segment 3
Period APC (95% CI) Period APC (95% CI) Period APC (95% CI)
Men
Ruralitya
 High 2009–2017 − 6.13* (− 7.70 to − 5.30) 2017 (2014–2020) 2017–2022 − 0.61 (− 2.73 to 4.42)
 Middle 2009–2018 − 5.37* (− 5.99 to − 4.89) 2018 (2017–2019) 2018–2022 0.31 (− 1.60 to 3.48)
 Low 2009–2017 − 5.78* (− 6.68 to − 5.00) 2017 (2011–2017) 2017–2020 − 2.31* (− 6.14 to − 1.54) 2020 (2018–2020) 2020–2022 3.04 (− 0.24 to 5.14)
Deprivationb
 High 2009–2017 − 5.86* (− 7.18 to − 4.63) 2017 (2011–2017) 2017–2020 − 2.34* (− 6.79 to − 1.42) 2020 (2017–2020) 2020–2022 3.27 (− 0.39 to 5.85)
 Middle 2009–2016 − 6.02* (− 7.30 to − 5.05) 2016 (2011–2017) 2016–2019 − 3.23* (− 6.38 to − 1.01) 2019 (2017–2020) 2019–2022 1.14 (− 0.78 to 3.87)
 Low 2009–2013 − 4.53* (− 5.24 to − 2.54) 2013 (2011–2015) 2013–2018 − 6.30* (− 8.01 to − 5.65) 2018 (2017–2019) 2018–2022 0.51 (− 0.85 to 2.89)
Women
Ruralitya
 High 2009–2018 − 5.59* (− 6.30 to − 5.07) 2018 (2017–2019) 2018–2022 2.06 (− 0.48 to 6.22)
 Middle 2009–2011 0.27 (− 3.77 to 5.38) 2011 (2011–2015) 2011–2019 − 5.24* (− 8.79 to − 4.71) 2019 (2018–2020) 2019–2022 6.78* (1.91 to 14.77)
 Low 2009–2011 1.65 (− 3.99 to 9.29) 2011 (2011–2014) 2011–2018 − 6.36* (− 11.57 to − 5.30) 2018 (2016–2020) 2018–2022 4.40* (0.38 to 13.91)
Deprivationb
 High 2009–2011 − 2.34 (− 6.00 to 2.23) 2011 (2011–2016) 2011–2018 − 6.04* (− 9.47 to − 3.28) 2018 (2017–2020) 2018–2022 3.83* (0.84 to 9.51)
 Middle 2009–2011 − 0.04 (− 4.31 to 4.65) 2011 (2011–2015) 2011–2018 − 6.19* (− 9.58 to − 5.35) 2018 (2016–2019) 2018–2022 3.30* (0.35 to 8.46)
 Low 2009–2011 2.19 (− 1.87 to 5.07) 2011 (2011–2012) 2011–2018 − 6.24* (− 7.56 to − 5.64) 2018 (2017–2019) 2018–2022 4.31* (2.02 to 7.63)

APC annual percentage change, JP joinpoint

*p-value < 0.05

aRurality level was calculated based on the population density in 2020 of the 47 prefectures: the 1st tertile refers to high level, the 2nd refers to middle level, and the 3rd refers to low level

bDeprivation level was calculated based on the Per capita prefectural income in 2019 of the 47 prefectures: the 1st tertile refers to high level, the 2nd refers to middle level, and the 3rd refers to low level