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. 2024 Oct 14;54(13):3624–3635. doi: 10.1017/S0033291724001661

Table 2.

Lifetime stressors predict affective symptom cyclicity

log(Negative Affect) log(passive suicidal ideation) Active suicidal ideation
Predictors Estimates CI (95%) p-value Estimates CI (95%) p-value Log-Odds CI (95%) p-value
Intercept 0.66 0.60–0.73 <0.001 0.42 0.35–0.48 <0.001 −1.07 −1.58 – −0.56 <0.001
Linear cycle time −0.74 −1.71–0.23 0.135 −0.49 −1.64–0.66 0.404 −2.70 −11.36–5.96 0.541
Quadratic cycle time −1.48 −2.23 – −0.72 <0.001 −0.94 −1.72 – −0.15 0.019 −7.35 −14.61 – −0.09 0.047
Cubic cycle time 0.25 −0.30–0.80 0.375 0.04 −0.68–0.75 0.919 0.32 −5.43–6.07 0.914
Quartic cycle time 1.46 0.92–2.01 <0.001 1.13 0.48–1.79 <0.001 7.26 1.60–12.92 0.012
Stressors (sample standardized) 0.05 −0.01–0.11 0.100 0.04 −0.02–0.10 0.217 0.48 −0.01–0.98 0.057
Age (sample standardized) −0.04 −0.10–0.02 0.209 −0.05 −0.12–0.02 0.163 −0.29 −0.78–0.21 0.255
SSRI −0.05 −0.10–0.01 0.087 −0.04 −0.10–0.01 0.127 −0.57 −1.08 – −0.06 0.028
Linear cycle time × stressors −0.11 −1.18–0.95 0.836 −0.46 −1.66–0.74 0.453 0.66 −8.14–9.47 0.882
Quadratic cycle time × stressors −0.76 −1.58–0.06 0.070 −0.79 −1.65–0.07 0.073 −7.97 −15.18 – −0.75 0.030
Cubic cycle time × stressors −0.09 −0.71–0.53 0.775 0.04 −0.73–0.80 0.920 3.05 −2.99–9.10 0.322
Quartic cycle time × stressors 0.06 −0.55–0.67 0.848 0.12 −0.54–0.77 0.726 −3.09 −9.03–2.84 0.307
Random effects
σ2 0.08 0.08 3.29
τ00 0.10 id 0.11 id 6.05 id
τ11 13.40 linear cycle time 21.32 linear cycle time 594.25 linear cycle time
6.01 quadratic cycle time 6.22 quadratic cycle time 266.37 quadratic cycle time
ρ01 0.02 0.02 −0.21
0.04 0.09 0.01
ICC 0.57 0.58 0.65
N 114 id 114 id 114 id
Observations 6187 6175 6175
Marginal R2/conditional R2 0.027 / 0.580 0.021 / 0.585 0.038 / 0.661