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. 2024 Oct 28;3(11):pgae483. doi: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae483

Table 1.

GC test results between phylogenetically inferred viral imports and EII indices for both air (aEII) and land (lEII) mobility components.

VOC Source location aEII lEII
Lag (model support) F statistic P value Lag (model support) F statistic P value
Alpha Florida (USA) 12 (AIC = −6.74) 10.65 0.001
France 3 (SC = −2.65) 7.47 0.0005
Spain 12 (AIC = −6.83) 1.77 0.21
Argentina 12 (AIC = −9.89) 7.42 0.001 1 (SC = −2.24) 0.04 0.84
Bolivia a
Peru 2 (SC = −5.84) 8.95 0.000594 1 (SC = −8.53) 14.83 0.0004
Combined b 12 (AIC = 3.42) 20.98 0.0001 1 (SC = −2.24) 0.07 0.79
Gamma Rio de Janeiro (BRA) 6 (SC = −4.29) 0.39 0.88
Santa Catarina (BRA) 11 (SC = −14.99 1.07 0.46
Sao Paulo (BRA) 1 (SC = 0.47) 0.03 0.86
Colombia 12 (SC = −3.31) 1.00 0.52
Argentina 1 (SC = −3.62) 3.50 0.07 1 (SC = 1.63) 11.14 0.002
Bolivia 1 (SC = −6.05) 0.44 0.51 1 (SC = 0.52) 3.61 0.06
Peru 1 (SC = −1.19) 0.17 0.68 1 (SC = −3.91) 5.75 0.02
Combined b 1 (SC = 8.36) 0.03 0.86 1 (SC = 2.29) 9.80 0.003
Lambda Argentina 1 (SC = −4.36) 1.98 0.17 1 (SC = 1.39) 0.009 0.92
Bolivia 1 (SC = −11.22) 0.53 0.47 1 (SC = −3.02) 0.04 0.85
Peru 10 (SC = −1.95) 3.84 0.01 1 (SC = −2.84) 53.21 4.24E-09
Combined b 10 (SC = 5.21) 3.68 0.01 1 (SC = 1.42) 0.64 0.43
Mu Colombia 1 (SC = 0.52) 7.04 0.01
Argentina 1 (SC = −1.11) 0.17 0.68 1 (SC = −4.77) 1.19 0.28
Bolivia 2 (SC = −7.25) 1.00 0.38 2 (SC = −0.64) 1.57 0.22
Peru 12 (SC = −7.80) 5.08 0.006 10 (SC = −9.39) 3.27 0.02
Combined b 1 (SC = 7.54) 7.50 0.009 2 (SC = −0.61) 1.82 0.18
Delta Sao Paulo (BRA) 12 (SC = −16.32) 1459.4 5.47E-12
Florida (USA) 12 (SC = −8.71) 321.79 2.28E-09
Georgia (USA) 12 (SC = −15.77) 873.46 4.25E-11
New York (USA) 12 (SC = −54.78) 9.93E + 15 2.20E-16
Texas (USA) 12 (SC = −16.01) 3553.6 1.56E-13
France 12 (SC = −89.96) 122.5 1.06E-07
Netherlands 12 (SC = −8.89) 449.03 6.05E-10
Spain 12 (SC = −7.68) 188.35 1.92E-08
Argentina 12 (SC = −6.04) 2.32 1.20E-01 12 (SC = −3.71) 102.46 1.71E-09
Bolivia 9 (SC = −6.71) 3.37E+ 26 2.20E-16 9 (SC = −64.23) 3.44E+ 27 2.20E-16
Peru 12 (SC = −71.38) NAc NAc 12 (SC = −73.92) NAc NAc
Combined b 12 (SC = 4.35) 8.43 0.003 12 (SC = −4.05) 121.25 6.87E-10

Countries with italized names share a land border with Chile. Nonneighboring countries included based on at least one epidemiological week where EII > 1. Cells in orange show significant results at α = 0.01.

aNo genomic surveillance data for this line.

b aEII estimated from all countries with direct flights into Chile (including those minor contributors not shown in the table) and lEII estimates from all neighboring countries.

cUnavailable test result due to multicolinearity.