Table 5.
Current and projected suitable habitats for three bear species within protected areas (current, 2050, and 2070)
| Protected area | Present | 2050 | 2070 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sloth bear | Asiatic black bear | Brown bear | Sloth bear | Black bear | Brown bear | Sloth bears | Black Bear | Brown Bear | |||||||||||
| Conservation area (CA) | Core area | Buffer zone | Core area | Buffer zone | Core area | Buffer zone | Core area | Buffer zone | Core area | Buffer zone | Core area | Buffer zone | Core area | Buffer zone | Core area | Buffer zone | Core area | Buffer zone | |
| 1 | Annapurna CA | – | – | 2802.26 | – | 2795.91 | – | 3,803.78 | 724.57 | 4026.04 | 214 | ||||||||
| 2 | Kangchenjunga CA | – | – | 453.41 | – | 161.84 | – | 408.83 | 694.46 | 382.25 | 716.85 | ||||||||
| 3 | Manaslu CA | – | – | 430.71 | – | 818.46 | – | 947.01 | 214.38 | 1169.28 | 32.33 | ||||||||
| 4 | Gaurishankar CA | – | – | 1271.19 | – | 68 | – | 1511.47 | 7.75 | 1547.70 | 2.04 | ||||||||
| 5 | Api Nampa CA | – | – | 1273.67 | – | – | – | 525.6 | 679 | ||||||||||
| National parks (NPs) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Shey Phoksundo NP | – | – | 83.55 | 215.13 | 137.13 | 104.75 | 213.45 | 329.57 | 211.16 | 295.75 | ||||||||
| 7 | Langtang NP | – | – | 489.11 | 371.08 | 440.7 | 1186.67 | 144.53 | 33.53 | 1480.30 | 107.64 | 5.17 | |||||||
| 8 | Sagarmatha NP | – | – | 90.05 | 20.41 | 3.27 | 3.41 | 231.26 | 166.01 | 108.63 | 0.52 | 194.22 | 399.53 | 12.47 | |||||
| 9 | Shivapuri NP | – | – | 78.65 | – | – | – | 4.42 | 0.52 | ||||||||||
| 10 | Chitwan NP | 918.55 | 726.48 | – | – | – | – | 504.25 | 106.25 | 373.13 | 27.08 | ||||||||
| 11 | Makalu Barun NP | – | – | 653.11 | 526.83 | 5.19 | 958.79 | 491.37 | 28.66 | 976.34 | 369.5 | 9.72 | |||||||
| 12 | Rara NP | – | – | 9.72 | – | – | – | 76.67 | 59.1 | ||||||||||
| 13 | Khaptad NP | – | – | 147.54 | – | 86.98 | 87.87 | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Banke NP | 374.41 | 128.46 | – | 0.52 | – | – | 84.73 | 55.63 | – | – | 65.68 | 49.54 | ||||||
| 15 | Bardia NP | 621.51 | 250.85 | 25.67 | – | – | – | 266.77 | 22.99 | 263.78 | 132.66 | ||||||||
| 16 | Parsa NP | 576.32 | 258.36 | – | – | – | – | 152.36 | 118.49 | 142.44 | 129.61 | ||||||||
| 17 | Suklaphanta NP | 5.81 | 4.71 | – | – | – | – | 5.47 | |||||||||||
| Hunting reserve (HR) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | Dhorpatan HR | – | – | 576.05 | – | – | – | 1149.99 | 1131.38 | ||||||||||
| Wildlife reserve (WR) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | Koshi Tappu WR | 1.06 | 1.06 | – | – | – | – | ||||||||||||
| Total | 2497.67 | 1369.91 | 8454.70 | 1233.96 | 4430.49 | 108.16 | 1008.11 | 303.37 | 11,104.93 | 1131.48 | 1811.97 | 0.52 | 845.02 | 344.35 | 11,945.15 | 1172.42 | 992.58 | ||
| Grand total | 3867.57 | 9688.65 | 4538.65 | 1311.48 | 12,236.40 | 1812.48 | 1189.37 | 13,117.57 | 992.58 | ||||||||||