Table 4.
Model fit logistic regression modelb | Cross-validated AUCc | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model | Variables included in the model | Pseudo R2 | AIC | BIC | Mean AUC | Bootstrap 95% CI | ||
Severe TBI |
GCS score ≤ 8 n = 176 |
A0 | Core variables and CT | 0.15 | 585 | 626 | 0.80 | 0.68; 0.84 |
A1 | Standard TAI grading | 0.16 | 581 | 632 | 0.81 | 0.73; 0.87 | ||
A2 | Stockholm MRI grading system | 0.18 | 571 | 621 | 0.80 | 0.71; 0.86 | ||
A3 | TAI-MRI grading based on GCS score | 0.17 | 577 | 627 | 0.81 | 0.71; 0.85 | ||
A4 | Trondheim TAI-MRI grading | 0.19 | 571 | 628 | 0.84 | 0.72; 0.86 | ||
A5 | Vol. TAI on FLAIR (TAI-FLAIR volume model) | 0.20 | 555 | 602 | 0.86 | 0.76; 0.90 | ||
A6 | Vol. TAI on FLAIR+ Vol. Contusion on FLAIR (TBI-FLAIR volume model) | 0.21 | 551 | 605 | 0.90 | 0.78; 0.91 | ||
Moderate TBI |
GCS score 9–12 n = 74 |
B0 | Age, GCS score, and CT | 0.15 | 214 | 241 | 0.76 | 0.69; 0.89 |
B1 | Standard TAI grading | 0.16 | 219 | 253 | 0.69 | 0.64; 0.86 | ||
B2 | Stockholm MRI grading system | 0.15 | 219 | 254 | 0.76 | 0.65; 0.86 | ||
B3 | TAI-MRI grading based on GCS score | 0.16 | 219 | 253 | 0.73 | 0.63; 0.86 | ||
B4 | Trondheim TAI-MRI grading | 0.17 | 219 | 258 | 0.77 | 0.63; 0.86 | ||
B5 | Vol. TAI on FLAIR (TAI-FLAIR volume model) | 0.17 | 215 | 247 | 0.78 | 0.64; 0.86 | ||
B6 | Vol. TAI on FLAIR + Vol. Contusion on FLAIR (TBI-FLAIR volume model) | 0.19 | 213 | 250 | 0.76 | 0.61; 0.84 | ||
GCS score 13 n = 55 |
C0 | Age and CT | 0.15 | 67 | 73 | 0.66 | 0.51; 0.83 | |
C1 | Standard TAI grading | 0.15 | 69 | 77 | 0.72 | 0.50; 0.83 | ||
C2 | Stockholm MRI grading system | 0.15 | 69 | 77 | 0.71 | 0.50; 0.83 | ||
C3 | TAI-MRI grading based on GCS score | 0.16 | 69 | 77 | 0.76 | 0.47; 0.81 | ||
C4 | Trondheim TAI-MRI grading | 0.15 | 69 | 77 | 0.73 | 0.51; 0.83 | ||
C5 | Vol. TAI on FLAIR (TAI-FLAIR volume model) | 0.16 | 71 | 81 | 0.75 | 0.52; 0.85 | ||
C6 | Vol. Contusion on FLAIR (Contusion-FLAIR volume model) | 0.26 | 63 | 73 | 0.78 | 0.55; 0.90 | ||
Mild TBI |
GCS 14–15 n = 147 |
D0 | Age and sex | 0.05 | 102 | 111 | NA | |
D4 | TAI gradingd on MRI | 0.09 | 100 | 112 | ||||
D5 | Vol. TAI on FLAIR (TAI-FLAIR quantitative model) | 0.09 | 102 | 117 | ||||
D6 | Vol. Contusion on FLAIR (Contusion-FLAIR volume model) | 0.25 | 85 | 100 |
TAI traumatic axonal injury, TBI traumatic brain injury, AUC area under the curve, GCS Glasgow Coma Scale, pseudo R2 McFaddens pseudo R2, AIC Akaike information criterion, BIC Bayesian information criterion, CI confidence interval, Vol. volume, FLAIR fluid-attenuated inversion recovery, NA not applicable
a Severe TBI is adjusted for core variables (age, pupil abnormalities and GCS score) and the worst Marshall CT score. Moderate TBI with GCS scores 9–12 are adjusted for age, GCS score and worst Marshall CT score. Moderate TBI with a GCS score 13 is adjusted for age and Marshall CT score. Mild TBI are adjusted for age and sex
For details on the contents and specifications for the different gradings, we refer to the Fig. 4
b Ordinal logistic regression analyses with inverted 6 months Glasgow Outcome Scale Extended (GOSE) score as response variable for severe TBI and moderate TBI with GCS score 9–12. Binary logistic regression predicting disability (GOSE score ≤ 6) at 3 months for mild TBI and at 6 months for moderate TBI with GCS score 13
c 10-fold cross-validation AUC analyses based on the logistic regression models but predicting poor outcome (GOSE score ≤ 4) for severe TBI and predicting disability (GOSE score ≤ 6) for moderate TBI. All values are given as mean AUC with 95% CI from the bootstrap samples
The most favourable model in each injury severity is indicated with italicised rows. The most favourable value in each category for each injury severity is in bold
d Since patients with mild TBI only had TAI in the hemispheres or corpus callosum, all the clinical grading systems performed identically in this group