Table 3.
Analysis of the receiver operating characteristic curve values of scoring systems in predicting 28-day mortality in critically ill patients
Scoring system
|
AUC
|
P value
|
95%CI
|
Cut-off value
|
Sensitivity (%)
|
Specificity (%)
|
YI
|
PV+ (%)
|
PV- (%)
|
GIDS1 | 0.785 | < 0.001 | 0.720-0.851 | 1.5 | 87.06 | 67.74 | 0.548 | 71.15 | 85.14 |
AGI1 | 0.779 | < 0.001 | 0.713-0.845 | 2.5 | 69.41 | 84.95 | 0.544 | 80.82 | 75.24 |
SOFA1 | 0.859 | < 0.001 | 0.805-0.913 | 9.5 | 87.06 | 67.74 | 0.548 | 71.15 | 85.14 |
APACHE II1 | 0.812 | < 0.001 | 0.749-0.875 | 21.5 | 81.18 | 70.97 | 0.521 | 71.88 | 80.49 |
SOFA + GIDS2 | 0.874 | < 0.001 | 0.822-0.927 | 11.5 | 88.24 | 74.19 | 0.624 | 75.76 | 87.34 |
SOFA + AGI2 | 0.869 | < 0.001 | 0.816-0.921 | 12.5 | 85.88 | 75.27 | 0.612 | 76.04 | 85.37 |
APACHE II + GIDS2 | 0.833 | < 0.001 | 0.774-0.892 | 23.5 | 81.18 | 74.19 | 0.554 | 74.19 | 81.18 |
APACHE II + AGI2 | 0.831 | < 0.001 | 0.771-0.890 | 23.5 | 84.71 | 69.89 | 0.546 | 72.00 | 83.33 |
Maximum values during the first week of intensive care unit (ICU) admission.
Maximum combination values during the first week of ICU admission.
AUC: Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; YI: Youden index; PV+: Positive predictive value; PV-: Negative predictive value; SOFA: Sequential organ failure assessment; APACHE II: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II; AGI: Acute gastrointestinal injury; GIDS: Gastrointestinal dysfunction score.