Table 1. APC and ASMR Among US Adults With Hepatocellular Carcinoma, Overall and By Sex, Age, and Etiology, 2006-2022.
Characteristic | ASMR per 100 000 persons | Temporal trend difference | P value | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2006 | 2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2022 | Temporal segmenta | APC (95% CI), % | ||
Overall | 3.65 | 4.12 | 4.39 | 4.91 | 5.03 | 2006-2009 | 4.1 (2.2 to 7.7) | <.001 |
2009-2022 | 1.8 (0.7 to 2.0) | .04 | ||||||
Sex | ||||||||
Female | 1.59 | 1.66 | 1.79 | 2.18 | 2.33 | 2006-2019 | 2.2 (0 to 4.0) | .05 |
2019-2022 | 4.7 (2.3 to 8.1) | <.001 | ||||||
Male | 6.10 | 7.01 | 7.37 | 8.06 | 8.15 | 2006-2010 | 4.0 (3.3 to 4.9) | <.001 |
2010-2014 | 0.4 (−0.5 to 1.1) | .33 | ||||||
2014-2017 | 3.7 (2.6 to 4.5) | <.001 | ||||||
2017-2022 | 0.2 (−0.4 to 0.6) | .42 | ||||||
Age, y | ||||||||
25-64 | 2.06 | 2.43 | 2.51 | 2.07 | 1.79 | 2006-2011 | 4.9 (3.9 to 6.1) | <.001 |
2011-2017 | −0.8 (−1.7 to 0) | .06 | ||||||
2017-2022 | −6.2 (−7.2 to −5.2) | <.001 | ||||||
≥65 | 10.20 | 11.08 | 12.15 | 16.59 | 18.37 | 2006-2014 | 1.8 (0.9 to 2.8) | .01 |
2014-2017 | 7.2 (1.0 to 8.3) | .01 | ||||||
2017-2022 | 5.0 (3.0 to 5.8) | <.001 | ||||||
Etiology | ||||||||
HCV | 0.61 | 0.95 | 1.12 | 0.87 | 0.76 | 2006-2008 | 17.2 (11.9 to 23.2) | <.001 |
2008-2012 | 5.9 (2.5 to 7.6) | .004 | ||||||
2012-2016 | 1.0 (−8.8 to 2.6) | .53 | ||||||
2016-2022 | −6.4 (−8.5 to −3.4) | .002 | ||||||
ALD | 0.09 | 0.23 | 0.33 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 2006-2008 | 45.1 (19.9 to 72.6) | <.001 |
2008-2022 | 5.9 (4.0 to 7.2) | .01 | ||||||
HBV | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 2006-2013 | 4.4 (0.7 to 16.5) | .02 |
2013-2022 | −4.8 (−10.4 to −2.3) | <.001 | ||||||
MASLD | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 2006-2022 | 19.0 (15.8 to 22.4) | <.001 |
Abbreviations: ALD, alcohol-associated liver disease; APC, annual percentage change; ASMR, age-standardized mortality rate; HBV, hepatitis B virus; HCV, hepatitis C virus; MASLD, metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver disease.
The point that links 2 segments is defined as a joinpoint, determining whether the trend was better explained by 2 segments or more.