Table 3.
Estimated distributions characterizing the time from symptom onset to reporting, for individuals of different ages. (The age groups are 0–24 years, 25–49 years, 50–74 years and 75–100 years, encompassing 104, 734, 904 and 248 cases, respectively; 95% credible intervals are shown in parentheses.)
| gamma/age group | mean | shape | rate | AIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–24 | 8.04 (7.11–8.86) | 1.69 (1.33–2.19) | 0.21 (0.15–0.27) | 631.9216 |
| 25–49 | 7.17 (7.00–7.26) | 2.08 (1.89–2.31) | 0.29 (0.26–0.33) | 4000.193 |
| 50–74 | 8.09 (8.01–8.17) | 2.51 (2.29–2.75) | 0.31 (0.28–0.34) | 4894.916 |
| 75–100 | 9.81 (8.55–9.73) | 2.16 (1.81–2.58) | 0.22 (0.18–0.27) | 1365.783 |
| Weibull/age group | mean | shape | scale | AIC |
| 0–24 | 8.06 (7.11–9.08) | 1.32 (1.15–1.55) | 8.76 (7.48–10.1) | 634.0786 |
| 25–49 | 7.00 (6.70–7.32) | 1.57 (1.48–1.66) | 7.80 (7.41–8.20) | 3993.266 |
| 50–74 | 8.06 (7.74–8.38) | 1.66 (1.58–1.75) | 9.02 (8.63–9.42) | 4918.846 |
| 75–100 | 9.53 (8.88–10.34) | 1.55 (1.42–1.72) | 10.6 (9.77–11.6) | 1368.161 |
| lognormal/age group | mean | mean-log | s.d.-log | AIC |
| 0–24 | 8.18 (6.41–10.81) | 1.75 (1.60–1.92) | 0.84 (0.72–0.96) | 632.1582 |
| 25–49 | 7.33 (6.69–8.04) | 1.68 (1.62–1.74) | 0.79 (0.75–0.83) | 4074.812 |
| 50–74 | 8.17 (7.62–8.75) | 1.87 (1.82–1.91) | 0.68 (0.65–0.72) | 4937.991 |
| 75–100 | 9.78 (8.42–11.5) | 2.00 (1.90–2.10) | 0.75 (0.68–0.83) | 1379.239 |