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. 2024 Nov 13;9(1):e001903. doi: 10.1136/bmjophth-2024-001903

Table 3. A summary of the research on prediction in the article.

Reference Method Optimisation strategy Images (n) Disease Forecast content Performance
de Sisternes et al61 L1-penalised Poisson model predictors Piecewise-linear functionsand L1-penalised Poisson model 244 Dry AMD Predicting the transition from early and intermediate age-related macular degeneration to advanced exudative macular degeneration AUC 0.92
Schmidt-Erfurth et al62 Cox proportional hazards Supervised setting, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator 1095 Dry AMD Predicting the risk of conversion to advanced AMD in patients with early age-related macular degeneration CNV: AUC 0.68GA: AUC 0.80
Banerjee et al63 RNN Many-to-manydata augmentation and long short-term memory 671 Dry AMD Predicting the transition from early and intermediate age-related macular degeneration to advanced exudative macular degeneration Internal validation: 3 months AUC 0.96, 21 months AUC 0.97External validation: 3 months AUC 0.82, 21 months AUC 0.68
Waldstein et al64 Deep learning NA 1097 Dry AMD Predicting the risk of conversion to advanced AMD in patients with early age-related macular degeneration MNV: AUC 0.66MA: AUC 0.73
Rudas et al65 SLIVER-net NA 4200 Dry AMD Predicting progress in wet AMD AUC 0.82
Bogunovic et al16 Random forest NA 1095 Wet AMD Predicting patient demand for anti-VEGF therapy Low demand AUC of 0.7High demand AUC of 0.77
Romo-Bucheli et al66 DenseNet and RNN Hyperbolic tangent 350 Wet AMD Predicting patient demand for anti-VEGF therapy Low demand AUC of 0.85High demand AUC of 0.81
Bogunović et al67 CNN NA 228 Wet AMD Predicting treatment needs and visual outcomes The AUC for the predicted treat-and-extend group was 0.71The AUC for the visual outcome was 0.87
Liu et al68 GAN and pix2pixHD ‘Coach-to-fine’ training strategy 476 Wet AMD Predicting short-term responses in patients treated with a single anti-vascular endothelial growth factor injection 92% of the synthesised OCT images were considered to be of sufficient quality for clinical interpretationpredicting post-treatment macular status (wet or dry) accuracy 85%
Zhao et al69 SSG-Net Squeeze and excitation network and class activation 206 Wet AMD Predicting whether patients will have a positive treatment response after short-term anti-VEGF therapy Accuracy 84.6%, AUC 0.83, sensitivity 69.2%, specificity 100%

AMDage-related macular degenerationAUCarea under the curveCNNconvolutional neural networkCNVchoroidal neovascularizationGAgeographic atrophyGANgenerative adversarial networkMAmacular atrophyMNVmacular neovascularizationOCToptical coherence tomographyRNNrecursive neural network