Table 3. A summary of the research on prediction in the article.
Reference | Method | Optimisation strategy | Images (n) | Disease | Forecast content | Performance |
de Sisternes et al61 | L1-penalised Poisson model predictors | Piecewise-linear functionsand L1-penalised Poisson model | 244 | Dry AMD | Predicting the transition from early and intermediate age-related macular degeneration to advanced exudative macular degeneration | AUC 0.92 |
Schmidt-Erfurth et al62 | Cox proportional hazards | Supervised setting, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator | 1095 | Dry AMD | Predicting the risk of conversion to advanced AMD in patients with early age-related macular degeneration | CNV: AUC 0.68GA: AUC 0.80 |
Banerjee et al63 | RNN | Many-to-manydata augmentation and long short-term memory | 671 | Dry AMD | Predicting the transition from early and intermediate age-related macular degeneration to advanced exudative macular degeneration | Internal validation: 3 months AUC 0.96, 21 months AUC 0.97External validation: 3 months AUC 0.82, 21 months AUC 0.68 |
Waldstein et al64 | Deep learning | NA | 1097 | Dry AMD | Predicting the risk of conversion to advanced AMD in patients with early age-related macular degeneration | MNV: AUC 0.66MA: AUC 0.73 |
Rudas et al65 | SLIVER-net | NA | 4200 | Dry AMD | Predicting progress in wet AMD | AUC 0.82 |
Bogunovic et al16 | Random forest | NA | 1095 | Wet AMD | Predicting patient demand for anti-VEGF therapy | Low demand AUC of 0.7High demand AUC of 0.77 |
Romo-Bucheli et al66 | DenseNet and RNN | Hyperbolic tangent | 350 | Wet AMD | Predicting patient demand for anti-VEGF therapy | Low demand AUC of 0.85High demand AUC of 0.81 |
Bogunović et al67 | CNN | NA | 228 | Wet AMD | Predicting treatment needs and visual outcomes | The AUC for the predicted treat-and-extend group was 0.71The AUC for the visual outcome was 0.87 |
Liu et al68 | GAN and pix2pixHD | ‘Coach-to-fine’ training strategy | 476 | Wet AMD | Predicting short-term responses in patients treated with a single anti-vascular endothelial growth factor injection | 92% of the synthesised OCT images were considered to be of sufficient quality for clinical interpretationpredicting post-treatment macular status (wet or dry) accuracy 85% |
Zhao et al69 | SSG-Net | Squeeze and excitation network and class activation | 206 | Wet AMD | Predicting whether patients will have a positive treatment response after short-term anti-VEGF therapy | Accuracy 84.6%, AUC 0.83, sensitivity 69.2%, specificity 100% |
AMDage-related macular degenerationAUCarea under the curveCNNconvolutional neural networkCNVchoroidal neovascularizationGAgeographic atrophyGANgenerative adversarial networkMAmacular atrophyMNVmacular neovascularizationOCToptical coherence tomographyRNNrecursive neural network