Table 3.
Incidence rate ratios for the association between healthcare attacks and displacement
| Covariate | No lag | 1 Month lag | 3 Month lag | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRR (95% CI) | p-value | IRR (95% CI) | p-value | IRR (95% CI) | p-value | ||
| Healthcare attacks | None | Comparison | |||||
| 1 | 0.91 (0.69–1.21) | 0.5291 | 1.35 (1.01–1.81) | 0.0177 | 1.52 (1.13–2.04) | 0.0053 | |
| 2–3 | 0.89 (0.63–1.26) | 0.5133 | 0.89 (0.63–1.27) | 0.6613 | 0.92 (0.65–1.31) | 0.6514 | |
| 4 + | 2.46 (1.71–3.53) | < 0.0001 | 1.14 (0.78–1.66) | 0.1065 | 0.84 (0.58–1.20) | 0.3405 | |
| Conflict events | 1.41 (1.26–1.57) | < 0.0001 | 1.48 (1.33–1.66) | < 0.0001 | 1.49 (1.33–1.65) | < 0.0001 | |
| Governorate | Rural Damascus | Comparison | |||||
| Idlib | 3.27 (2.00–5.36) | < 0.0001 | 3.85 (2.34–6.33) | < 0.0001 | 4.40 (2.68–7.22) | < 0.0001 | |
| Aleppo | 3.14 (1.97–5.03) | < 0.0001 | 3.23 (2.01–5.20) | < 0.0001 | 3.71 (2.32–5.94) | < 0.0001 | |
| Al-Hassakeh | 1.88 (1.28–2.75) | 0.0012 | 1.92 (1.30–2.84) | < 0.0001 | 2.04 (1.38–3.00) | 0.0003 | |
| Dara | 1.33 (0.86–2.05) | 0.2040 | 1.29 (0.82–2.01) | 0.0010 | 1.34 (0.86–2.08) | 0.1974 | |
| Damascus | 0.87 (0.53–1.44) | 0.5935 | 0.83 (0.50–1.38) | 0.0439 | 0.84 (0.50–1.39) | 0.4907 | |
| Hama | 0.75 (0.52–1.10) | 0.1401 | 0.86 (0.58–1.25) | 0.0010 | 0.87 (0.60–1.28) | 0.4834 | |
| Homs | 0.48 (0.33–0.72) | 0.0003 | 0.47 (0.32–0.71) | < 0.0001 | 0.49 (0.33–0.73) | 0.0004 | |
| AIC | 8,745.30 | 8,771.07 | 8,764.69 | ||||