Table 2:
Estimates used in the Markov model with their primary assigned values and probability distributions.
| Variable description | Base estimate | Probability distribution | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cost | |||
| Rituximab (per 1 g) | $9395 | Normal | [10] |
| Cyclosporine (per 1 mg) | $0.058 | Normal | [10] |
| 1 year of dialysis treatment | $83 797 | Normal | [21] |
| Organ acquisition for transplant | $70 747 | Normal | [22] |
| First year of transplant | $77 883 | Normal | [23] |
| Subsequent years of transplant | $23 555 | Normal | [23] |
| Utility | |||
| Treatment | 0.702 | Normal | MENTOR study data |
| CR (varied by time since treatment initiation) | 0.875–0.930 | Normal | |
| PR (varied by time since treatment initiation) | 0.735–0.767 | Normal | |
| No remission | 0.702 | Normal | |
| Kidney failure on dialysis | 0.71 | Normal | [13] |
| Kidney failure with a functioning transplant | 0.82 | Normal | [13] |
| Probability estimates beyond 24 months in modela | |||
| Probability of reaching kidney failure | varied by time after treatment initiation | N/A | [2] |
| Probability of death on dialysis | varied by age | NA | [21] |
| Probability of transplantation after progression to kidney failure | varied by age | NA | [21] |
| Probability of transplant failure | varied by age | NA | [21] |
| Relative risk of death in patients with NR to treatment | 1.69 | Normal | [12] |
| Risk of death from natural causes | varied by age | NA | [24] |
aTransition probabilities for the first 24 months obtained directly from MENTOR study data are detailed in Supplementary Table S2.