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. 2024 Apr 15;39(12):2058–2066. doi: 10.1093/ndt/gfae084

Table 2:

Estimates used in the Markov model with their primary assigned values and probability distributions.

Variable description Base estimate Probability distribution Reference
Cost
 Rituximab (per 1 g) $9395 Normal [10]
 Cyclosporine (per 1 mg) $0.058 Normal [10]
 1 year of dialysis treatment $83 797 Normal [21]
 Organ acquisition for transplant $70 747 Normal [22]
 First year of transplant $77 883 Normal [23]
 Subsequent years of transplant $23 555 Normal [23]
Utility
 Treatment 0.702 Normal MENTOR study data
 CR (varied by time since treatment initiation) 0.875–0.930 Normal
 PR (varied by time since treatment initiation) 0.735–0.767 Normal
 No remission 0.702 Normal
 Kidney failure on dialysis 0.71 Normal [13]
 Kidney failure with a functioning transplant 0.82 Normal [13]
Probability estimates beyond 24 months in modela
 Probability of reaching kidney failure varied by time after treatment initiation N/A [2]
 Probability of death on dialysis varied by age NA [21]
 Probability of transplantation after progression to kidney failure varied by age NA [21]
 Probability of transplant failure varied by age NA [21]
 Relative risk of death in patients with NR to treatment 1.69 Normal [12]
 Risk of death from natural causes varied by age NA [24]

aTransition probabilities for the first 24 months obtained directly from MENTOR study data are detailed in Supplementary Table S2.