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. 2024 Dec 2;24:1372. doi: 10.1186/s12879-024-09674-6

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© The Author(s) 2024

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 6 — Comparison between simulated number of cases over 90 days from 17^th March 2020 (left) for scenarios A (true measures) and Scenario B (schools open) and 90 days from 12^th May 2020 (right) for scenarios A (true measures) and C (schools closed). Showcased are the 10^th, 50^th, and 90^th percentiles (referenced as P10, P50, and P90, respectively) as well as the observed case counts in the period considered