Table 2. Attributable number (AN) and attributable fraction (AF) of excess acute heat illnesses above the nonoptimal temperature threshold (27 °C) in different scenarios.
| Scenario | Days exceeding nonoptimal temperature (95% CI) | AN of acute heat illnesses exceeding nonoptimal temperature (95% CI) | AF of acute heat illnesses above nonoptimal temperature (%) (95% CI) | |||
| 2010‐2019 | 2090‐2099 | 2010‐2019 | 2090‐2099 | 2010‐2019 | 2090‐2099 | |
| SSP1-2.6a | 416 (379-453) | 919 (867-969) | 6463 (1664-11,262) | 12,468 (3233-21,704) | 34.2 (33.3‐35.2) | 62.1 (61.2‐63.1) |
| SSP2-4.5 | 371 (336-408) | 1295 (1238-1351) | 6021 (1344-10,699) | 15,995 (3887-28,102) | 31.9 (31‐32.8) | 77.6 (76.8‐78.5) |
| SSP3-7.0 | 323 (291-358) | 1509 (1452-1567) | 5198 (904-9492) | 17,548 (3546-31,549) | 27.6 (26.7‐28.5) | 84.3 (83.6‐85) |
| SSP5-8.5 | 377 (341-413) | 1783 (1725-1840) | 6200 (150-12,249) | 19,021 (2249-35,792) | 32.9 (32‐33.9) | 89.9 (89.3‐90.5) |
a
SSP: shared socioeconomic pathway.