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. 2005 Jun 28;102(28):9984–9989. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0408526102

Table 3. Sensitivity analysis for five parameters in the no-detection case.

Release size
Case description 0.1 g 1 g 10 g 100 g 1 kg
Base case 2.3 × 103 1.5 × 105 5.0 × 105 5.7 × 105 5.7 × 105
Time between silo cleanings = 48 hr 2.8 × 103 1.6 × 105 3.8 × 105 3.9 × 105 3.9 × 105
Silo size = 100,000 gallons 2.1 × 102 1.4 × 105 8.4 × 105 1.1 × 106 1.1 × 106
Silos per processing line = 4 4.4 × 101 1.1 × 105 1.2 × 106 2.2 × 106 2.2 × 106
Inactivation by pasteurization = 0.99 6.6 × 10-11 5.0 3.8 × 104 3.6 × 105 5.7 × 105
ID50 (adult, child) = 70 μg, 30 μg 1.8 × 10-16 6.7 × 10-3 7.5 × 103 2.1 × 105 5.3 × 105

Each change from the base-case value in Table 1 was made in isolation, and the mean number of poisoned people was computed for four different release sizes.