Table 2. Projected incidence of ischaemic stroke and CHD events under three air quality improvement scenarios*.
| Age | 2015 levels | NAQAP 35 µg/m3 scenario | WHO 5 µg/m3 scenario | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stroke | CHD | Total | Stroke | CHD | Total | Excess | Stroke | CHD | Total | Excess | |
| Male | |||||||||||
| 45–49 | 1.27 | 0.53 | 1.80 | 1.07 | 0.47 | 1.54 | 0.69 | 0.33 | 1.02 | ||
| 50–54 | 1.38 | 0.57 | 1.95 | 1.18 | 0.52 | 1.70 | 0.79 | 0.37 | 1.16 | ||
| 55–59 | 1.80 | 0.75 | 2.55 | 1.57 | 0.69 | 2.26 | 1.09 | 0.50 | 1.59 | ||
| 60–64 | 2.37 | 0.99 | 3.36 | 2.09 | 0.91 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 0.69 | 2.19 | ||
| 65–69 | 2.11 | 0.88 | 2.99 | 1.89 | 0.82 | 2.71 | 1.41 | 0.64 | 2.05 | ||
| 70–74 | 1.87 | 0.78 | 2.65 | 1.68 | 0.73 | 2.41 | 1.30 | 0.58 | 1.88 | ||
| 75–79 | 1.67 | 0.70 | 2.37 | 1.53 | 0.66 | 2.19 | 1.22 | 0.55 | 1.77 | ||
| 80–85 | 0.97 | 0.40 | 1.37 | 0.91 | 0.39 | 1.30 | 0.76 | 0.33 | 1.09 | ||
| Total_m | 13.44 | 5.60 | 19.04 | 11.92 | 5.19 | 17.11 | 1.93 | 8.76 | 3.99 | 12.75 | 6.29 |
| Female | |||||||||||
| 45–49 | 0.46 | 0.17 | 0.63 | 0.39 | 0.15 | 0.54 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 0.35 | ||
| 50–54 | 0.65 | 0.23 | 0.88 | 0.56 | 0.21 | 0.77 | 0.38 | 0.15 | 0.53 | ||
| 55–59 | 0.92 | 0.33 | 1.25 | 0.79 | 0.30 | 1.09 | 0.55 | 0.22 | 0.77 | ||
| 60–64 | 1.67 | 0.60 | 2.27 | 1.46 | 0.55 | 2.01 | 1.05 | 0.42 | 1.47 | ||
| 65–69 | 1.77 | 0.64 | 2.41 | 1.57 | 0.59 | 2.16 | 1.17 | 0.46 | 1.63 | ||
| 70–74 | 2.23 | 0.81 | 3.04 | 2.03 | 0.76 | 2.79 | 1.58 | 0.61 | 2.19 | ||
| 75–79 | 2.27 | 0.82 | 3.09 | 2.07 | 0.77 | 2.84 | 1.66 | 0.64 | 2.30 | ||
| 80–85 | 2.05 | 0.74 | 2.79 | 1.90 | 0.71 | 2.61 | 1.58 | 0.61 | 2.19 | ||
| Total_f | 12.02 | 4.34 | 16.36 | 10.77 | 4.04 | 14.81 | 1.55 | 8.22 | 3.21 | 11.43 | 4.93 |
| Total | 25.46 | 9.94 | 35.40 | 22.69 | 9.23 | 31.92 | 3.48 | 16.98 | 7.20 | 24.18 | 11.22 |
Figures presented in millions.
CHD, coronary heart disease; NAQAP, National Air Quality Action Plan.