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. 2024 Dec 5;9(12):e016974. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2024-016974

Table 2. Projected incidence of ischaemic stroke and CHD events under three air quality improvement scenarios*.

Age 2015 levels NAQAP 35 µg/m3 scenario WHO 5 µg/m3 scenario
Stroke CHD Total Stroke CHD Total Excess Stroke CHD Total Excess
Male
45–49 1.27 0.53 1.80 1.07 0.47 1.54 0.69 0.33 1.02
50–54 1.38 0.57 1.95 1.18 0.52 1.70 0.79 0.37 1.16
55–59 1.80 0.75 2.55 1.57 0.69 2.26 1.09 0.50 1.59
60–64 2.37 0.99 3.36 2.09 0.91 3.00 1.50 0.69 2.19
65–69 2.11 0.88 2.99 1.89 0.82 2.71 1.41 0.64 2.05
70–74 1.87 0.78 2.65 1.68 0.73 2.41 1.30 0.58 1.88
75–79 1.67 0.70 2.37 1.53 0.66 2.19 1.22 0.55 1.77
80–85 0.97 0.40 1.37 0.91 0.39 1.30 0.76 0.33 1.09
Total_m 13.44 5.60 19.04 11.92 5.19 17.11 1.93 8.76 3.99 12.75 6.29
Female
45–49 0.46 0.17 0.63 0.39 0.15 0.54 0.25 0.10 0.35
50–54 0.65 0.23 0.88 0.56 0.21 0.77 0.38 0.15 0.53
55–59 0.92 0.33 1.25 0.79 0.30 1.09 0.55 0.22 0.77
60–64 1.67 0.60 2.27 1.46 0.55 2.01 1.05 0.42 1.47
65–69 1.77 0.64 2.41 1.57 0.59 2.16 1.17 0.46 1.63
70–74 2.23 0.81 3.04 2.03 0.76 2.79 1.58 0.61 2.19
75–79 2.27 0.82 3.09 2.07 0.77 2.84 1.66 0.64 2.30
80–85 2.05 0.74 2.79 1.90 0.71 2.61 1.58 0.61 2.19
Total_f 12.02 4.34 16.36 10.77 4.04 14.81 1.55 8.22 3.21 11.43 4.93
Total 25.46 9.94 35.40 22.69 9.23 31.92 3.48 16.98 7.20 24.18 11.22
*

Figures presented in millions.

CHD, coronary heart disease; NAQAP, National Air Quality Action Plan.