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. 2024 Dec 11;21(221):20240438. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0438

Figure 6.

For variant emergence to maintain or slightly reduce PASC prevalence, parameters must

For variant emergence to maintain or slightly reduce PASC prevalence, parameters must take on biologically implausible values. If infections are highly prevalent (I*=0.09) while also being very short in duration (γ1=0.5 weeks), and if pre-existing immunity is highly efficacious for preventing both reinfection (η=0.65) as well as PASC (ϵ=1), then variants with higher transmission rates can reduce PASC in the long run. PASC duration is modelled by an exponential distribution with mean ρ1=1 year. Other parameters: δ1=52 weeks, α=1 vaccine per year, F=0.01, s=0.1.