Table 5.
Datasets and probability threshold | Specificity (%) | Sensitivity (%) | PPVa (%) | NPVb (%) | LR+c | LR–d | Alert rate (%) | |||||
Development dataset | ||||||||||||
|
0.25 | 26 | 90 | 40 | 84 | 1.23 | 0.37 | 79 | ||||
|
0.31 | 54 | 74 | 46 | 78 | 1.61 | 0.48 | 56 | ||||
|
0.45 | 84 | 29 | 49 | 69 | 1.83 | 0.85 | 20 | ||||
Temporal validation dataset | ||||||||||||
|
0.25 | 26 | 89 | 42 | 80 | 1.20 | 0.42 | 80 | ||||
|
0.31 | 51 | 73 | 47 | 76 | 1.48 | 0.54 | 58 | ||||
|
0.45 | 88 | 25 | 55 | 66 | 2.04 | 0.85 | 17 | ||||
Geographic validation dataset | ||||||||||||
|
0.25 | 26 | 88 | 53 | 70 | 1.19 | 0.46 | 81 | ||||
|
0.31 | 49 | 79 | 60 | 71 | 1.56 | 0.42 | 65 | ||||
|
0.45 | 87 | 24 | 64 | 55 | 1.84 | 0.87 | 18 |
aPPV: positive predictive value.
bNPV: negative predictive value.
cLR+: positive likelihood ratio.
dLR–: negative likelihood ratio.