Table 1.

Summary of 2025, 2030, and 2035 scenarios.

Scenarios	Design aspects	2025	2030	2035
BAU	Industrial structure adjustment	Consistent with the industrial structure in 2020	Consistent with the industrial structure in 2020	Consistent with the industrial structure in 2020
BAU	Energy consumption intensity control	Consistent with the energy consumption intensity of the industrial sectors in 2020	Consistent with the energy consumption intensity of the industrial sectors in 2020	Consistent with the energy consumption intensity of the industrial sectors in 2020
BAU	Energy structure optimization	Consistent with the energy structure of the industrial sectors in 2020	Consistent with the energy structure of the industrial sectors in 2020	Consistent with the energy structure of the industrial sectors in 2020
CC	Industrial structure adjustment	1)Compared with 2020, the backward production capacities of the coal, steel, cement clinker, coal chemical, coking, other chemical, electrolytic aluminum, and thermal power industries are reduced by 5 %, 10 %, 5 %, 10 %, 10 %, 5 %, 5 %, and 5 %, respectively. 2)The proportions of short-process steel making by electric furnace, scrap steel, hydrogen (green hydrogen) steelmaking, and the syngas one-step method for coal-to-olefin transformations are increased to 15 %, 30 %, 5 %, and 60 % respectively.	1)Compared with 2020, the backward production capacities of the corresponding industries are reduced by 10 %, 15 %, 10 %, 15 %, 15 %, 10 %, 10 %, and 10 %, respectively. 2)The corresponding proportions are increased to 20 %, 35 %, 10 %, and 75 % respectively.	1)Compared with 2020, the backward production capacities of the corresponding industries are reduced by 15 %, 20 %, 15 %, 20 %, 20 %, 15 %, 15 %, and 15 %, respectively. 2)The corresponding proportions are increased to 25 %, 40 %, 15 %, and 90 % respectively.
CC	Energy consumption intensity control	Compared with 2020, the energy consumption intensities of the coal mining, coal chemical, other chemical, coking, cement clinker, iron-making blast furnace process, steel-making converter process, ferrosilicon, high-carbon ferrochrome, and electrolytic aluminum industries are reduced by 23.5 %, 20.5 %, 22.6 %, 5.7 %, 1.0 %, 1.8 %, 10.0 %, 1.0 %, 1.0 %, and 2.5 %, respectively. The average coal consumption for power supply in the thermal power industry reaches 305 gce/kW·h. The energy consumption intensities of the other industries are reduced by 20.0 % compared with 2020.	Compared with 2020, the energy consumption intensities of the corresponding industries are reduced by 33.5 %, 30.5 %, 32.6 %, 10.7 %, 6.0 %, 6.8 %, 20.0 %, 6.0 %, 6.0 %, and 7.5 %, respectively. The average coal consumption for power supply in the thermal power industry is reduced by 10 % compared with the 2025 CC scenario. The energy consumption intensities of the other industries are reduced by 30.0 % compared with 2020.	Compared with 2020, the energy consumption intensities of the corresponding industries are reduced by 43.5 %, 40.5 %, 42.6 %, 15.7 %, 11.0 %, 11.8 %, 30.0 %, 11.0 %, 11.0 %, and 12.5 %, respectively. The average coal consumption for power supply in the thermal power industry is reduced by 20 % compared with the 2025 CC scenario. The energy consumption intensities of the other industries are reduced by 40.0 % compared with 2020.
CC	Energy structure optimization	Coal power generation accounts for 60 % of the total power generation. Coal consumption accounts for 70 % of the total comprehensive energy consumption. Electricity consumption accounts for 16 % of the total integrated energy consumption, of which 35 % is derived from renewable energy electricity.	Coal power generation accounts for 50 % of the total power generation. Coal consumption accounts for 65 % of the total comprehensive energy consumption. Electricity consumption accounts for 22 % of the total integrated energy consumption, of which 45 % is derived from renewable energy electricity.	Coal power generation accounts for 40 % of the total power generation. Coal consumption accounts for 60 % of the total comprehensive energy consumption. Electricity consumption accounts for 28 % of the total integrated energy consumption, of which 55 % is derived from renewable energy electricity.
ECC	Industrial structure adjustment	1)Compared with 2020, the backward production capacities of the coal, steel, cement clinker, coal chemical, coking, other chemical, electrolytic aluminum, and thermal power industries are reduced by 8 %, 15 %, 10 %, 20 %, 20 %, 10 %, 10 %, and 10 %, respectively. 2)The proportions of short-process steel making by electric furnace, scrap steel, hydrogen (green hydrogen) steelmaking, and the syngas one-step method for coal-to-olefin transformations are increased to 20 %, 35 %, 10 %, and 70 % respectively.	1)Compared with 2020, the backward production capacities of the corresponding industries are reduced by 12 %, 20 %, 16 %, 26 %, 27 %, 16 %, 14 %, and 15 %, respectively. 2)The corresponding proportions are increased to 25 %, 40 %, 15 %, and 85 % respectively.	1)Compared with 2020, the backward production capacities of the corresponding industries are reduced by 16 %, 30 %, 22 %, 32 %, 34 %, 23 %, 18 %, and 20 %, respectively. 2)The corresponding proportions are increased to 30 %, 45 %, 20 %, and 100 % respectively.
ECC	Energy consumption intensity control	Compared with 2020, the energy consumption intensities of the coal mining, coal chemical, other chemical, coking, cement clinker, iron-making blast furnace process, steel-making converter process, ferrosilicon, high-carbon ferrochrome, and electrolytic aluminum industries are reduced by 32.1 %, 30.9 %, 31.8 %, 10.0 %, 5.0 %, 6.8 %, 15.0 %, 5.0 %, 5.0 %, and 5.0 %, respectively. The average coal consumption for power supply in the thermal power industry reaches 295 gce/kW·h. The energy consumption intensities of the other industries are reduced by 30.0 % compared with 2020.	Compared with 2020, the energy consumption intensities of the corresponding industries are reduced by 42.1 %, 40.9 %, 41.8 %, 15.0 %, 10.0 %, 11.8 %, 25.0 %, 10.0 %, 10.0 %, and 10.0 %, respectively. The average coal consumption for power supply in the thermal power industry is reduced by 15 % compared with the 2025 ECC scenario. The energy consumption intensities of the other industries are reduced by 40.0 % compared with 2020.	Compared with 2020, the energy consumption intensities of the corresponding industries are reduced by 52.1 %, 50.9 %, 51.8 %, 25.0 %, 15.0 %, 16.8 %, 35.0 %, 15.0 %, 15.0 %, and 15.0 %, respectively. The average coal consumption for power supply in the thermal power industry is reduced by 25 % compared with the 2025 ECC scenario. The energy consumption intensities of the other industries are reduced by 50.0 % compared with 2020.
ECC	Energy structure optimization	Coal power generation accounts for 50 % of the total power generation. Coal consumption accounts for 65 % of the total comprehensive energy consumption. Electricity consumption accounts for 23 % of the total integrated energy consumption, of which 45 % is derived from renewable energy electricity.	Coal power generation accounts for 45 % of the total power generation. Coal consumption accounts for 60 % of the total comprehensive energy consumption. Electricity consumption accounts for 29 % of the total integrated energy consumption, of which 55 % is derived from renewable energy electricity.	Coal power generation accounts for 40 % of the total power generation. Coal consumption accounts for 55 % of the total comprehensive energy consumption. Electricity consumption accounts for 35 % of the total integrated energy consumption, of which 65 % is derived from renewable energy electricity.