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The global disease burden of smoking-attributable PUD mortality predicted by BAPC model in 2046. (A) The age-standardized of mortality rate predicted by BAPC model in 2046; (B) The number of death cases predicted by BAPC model in 2046. PUD, peptic ulcer disease; ASMR, age-standardized mortality rate; BAPC, Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort.
