Table 2.

European gas pipeline import constraints in geopolitical scenarios

From	Pipeline	Scenario	2020	2025	2030	2035	2040
Russia	Nord Stream Ia	Base	55	55	55	55	55
		LM	55	0	0	0	0
		P2A	55	0	0	0	0
	Yamal	Base	33	33	33	33	33
		LM	33	0	0	0	0
		P2A	33	0	0	0	0
	Via Ukraineb	Base	40	40	40	40	40
		LM	40	15	0	0	0
		P2A	40	15	0	0	0
	TurkStream	Base	31.5	31.5	31.5	31.5	31.5
		LM	31.5	10	0	0	0
		P2A	31.5	15	15	15	15
Africa	Greenstream	All	11	11	11	11	11
	Trans-Mediterranean		33.5	33.5	33.5	33.5	33.5
	Medgaz		8	8	8	8	8
	Maghreb–Europe		12	12	12	12	12
Azerbaijan	Southern Gas Corridorc	All	10	20	20	20	20

^aFollowing the explosions that disrupted its operation in 2022, Nord Stream II never comes online

^bBrotherhood and Soyuz pipelines

^cSouthern Gas Corridor transports gas from Azerbaijan to Europe, connecting with South Caucasus Pipeline (SCPX), Trans Anatolian Pipeline (TANAP), Trans Adriatic Pipeline (TAP).