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. 2025 Jan 6;15:1032. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-84119-3

Table 2.

Joinpoint Regression of segmented linear trend of dengue incidence rates in the Brazilian Legal Amazon between 2001 and 2021.

Area Period APC (IC 95%) Inline graphic-values Trend AAPC (IC 95%) Trend
Legal Amazon 2001–2021 3.0 (− 0.9, − 7.1) 0.121 Stable 3.0 (− 0.9, 7.1) Stable
Acre 2001–2021 17.3 (10.6, − 24.4) 0.001 Increasing 17.3 (10.6, − 24.4) Increasing
Amapá 2001–2015 21.7 (11.3, − 33.1)  < 0.001 Increasing − 9.1 (− 17.2, − 0.4) Decreasing
2015–2021 − 54.1 (− 64.6, − 40.5) 0.001 Decreasing
Amazonas 2001–2006 − 40.7 (− 58.4, − 15.4) 0.008 Decreasing 10.5 (− 10.5, 36.4) Stable
2006–2010 179.0 (18.5, 556.9) 0.023 Increasing
2010–2018 − 15.8 (− 27.9, − 1.7) 0.033 Decreasing
2018–2021 86.7 (− 20.5, 338.5) 0.135 Stable
Maranhão 2001–2007 12.3 (1.0, − 24.8) 0.035 Increasing − 2.8 (− 7.3, 1.9) Stable
2007–2021 − 8.7 (− 13.7, − 3.3) 0.004 Decreasing
Mato Grosso 2001–2021 3.3 (− 2.9, − 10) 0.284 Stable 3.3 (− 2.9–10) Stable
Pará 2001–2012 6.8 (0.5, 13.5) 0.036 Increasing − 1.8 (− 7.0− 3.6) Stable
2012–2021 − 11.4 (− 20.2, − 1.6) 0.026 Decreasing
Roraima 2001–2010 20.8 (− 7.3, 7.40) 0.149 Stable − 5.3 (− 16.6, 7.6) Stable
2010–2021 − 22.4 (− 31.6, − 11.9) 0.001 Decreasing
Rondônia 2001–2009 43.1 (3.9, 97.0) 0.030 Increasing 5.7 (7.6,21.0) Stable
2009–2021 − 13.6 (− 231, − 2.9) 0.018 Decreasing
Tocantins 2001–2021 0.6 (− 4.8, 6.3) 0.830 Stable 0.6 (− 4.8 6.3) Stable

APC: annual percentage change (%); AAPC = average annual percentage change (%).