Table 2.
Joinpoint Regression of segmented linear trend of dengue incidence rates in the Brazilian Legal Amazon between 2001 and 2021.
Area | Period | APC (IC 95%) |
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Trend | AAPC (IC 95%) | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Legal Amazon | 2001–2021 | 3.0 (− 0.9, − 7.1) | 0.121 | Stable | 3.0 (− 0.9, 7.1) | Stable |
Acre | 2001–2021 | 17.3 (10.6, − 24.4) | 0.001 | Increasing | 17.3 (10.6, − 24.4) | Increasing |
Amapá | 2001–2015 | 21.7 (11.3, − 33.1) | < 0.001 | Increasing | − 9.1 (− 17.2, − 0.4) | Decreasing |
2015–2021 | − 54.1 (− 64.6, − 40.5) | 0.001 | Decreasing | |||
Amazonas | 2001–2006 | − 40.7 (− 58.4, − 15.4) | 0.008 | Decreasing | 10.5 (− 10.5, 36.4) | Stable |
2006–2010 | 179.0 (18.5, 556.9) | 0.023 | Increasing | |||
2010–2018 | − 15.8 (− 27.9, − 1.7) | 0.033 | Decreasing | |||
2018–2021 | 86.7 (− 20.5, 338.5) | 0.135 | Stable | |||
Maranhão | 2001–2007 | 12.3 (1.0, − 24.8) | 0.035 | Increasing | − 2.8 (− 7.3, 1.9) | Stable |
2007–2021 | − 8.7 (− 13.7, − 3.3) | 0.004 | Decreasing | |||
Mato Grosso | 2001–2021 | 3.3 (− 2.9, − 10) | 0.284 | Stable | 3.3 (− 2.9–10) | Stable |
Pará | 2001–2012 | 6.8 (0.5, 13.5) | 0.036 | Increasing | − 1.8 (− 7.0− 3.6) | Stable |
2012–2021 | − 11.4 (− 20.2, − 1.6) | 0.026 | Decreasing | |||
Roraima | 2001–2010 | 20.8 (− 7.3, 7.40) | 0.149 | Stable | − 5.3 (− 16.6, 7.6) | Stable |
2010–2021 | − 22.4 (− 31.6, − 11.9) | 0.001 | Decreasing | |||
Rondônia | 2001–2009 | 43.1 (3.9, 97.0) | 0.030 | Increasing | 5.7 (7.6,21.0) | Stable |
2009–2021 | − 13.6 (− 231, − 2.9) | 0.018 | Decreasing | |||
Tocantins | 2001–2021 | 0.6 (− 4.8, 6.3) | 0.830 | Stable | 0.6 (− 4.8 6.3) | Stable |
APC: annual percentage change (%); AAPC = average annual percentage change (%).