Table 3. Model covariate effect sizes.
Bayesian posterior mean effect size and 95% credible intervals (C.I.) for each covariate used in both models.
| Covariate | Mean effect size and 95% C.I. | |
|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | Model 2 | |
| MPA size (km2) | 0.056 ± 0.30 | 0.061 ± 0.31 |
| MPA age (years) | 0.21 ± 0.24 | 0.24 ± 0.24 |
| No take | 0.22 ± 0.28 | 0.23 ± 0.28 |
| Distance from shore (km) | 0.03 ± 0.26 | 0.05 ± 0.25 |
| Largest city within 100 km (pop) | -0.011 ± 0.25 | -0.04 ± 0.26 |
| National governance indicators | -0.11 ± 0.80 | -0.13 ± 0.77 |
| Gross domestic product | 0.48 ± 0.63 | 0.39 ± 0.63 |
| Human development index | 0.026 ± 0.33 | 0.046 ± 0.32 |
| Fish per capita (tons) | -0.032 ± 0.60 | -0.11 ± 0.61 |
| Shared governance | 0.32 ± 0.31 | N/A |
| Collaborative governance | N/A | 0.49 ± 0.35 |
| Sub-national governance | 0.26 ± 0.37 | |
| Joint governance | 0.21 ± 0.65 | |