Table 3. Model covariate effect sizes.

Bayesian posterior mean effect size and 95% credible intervals (C.I.) for each covariate used in both models.

Covariate	Mean effect size and 95% C.I.
	Model 1	Model 2
MPA size (km2)	0.056 ± 0.30	0.061 ± 0.31
MPA age (years)	0.21 ± 0.24	0.24 ± 0.24
No take	0.22 ± 0.28	0.23 ± 0.28
Distance from shore (km)	0.03 ± 0.26	0.05 ± 0.25
Largest city within 100 km (pop)	-0.011 ± 0.25	-0.04 ± 0.26
National governance indicators	-0.11 ± 0.80	-0.13 ± 0.77
Gross domestic product	0.48 ± 0.63	0.39 ± 0.63
Human development index	0.026 ± 0.33	0.046 ± 0.32
Fish per capita (tons)	-0.032 ± 0.60	-0.11 ± 0.61
Shared governance	0.32 ± 0.31	N/A
Collaborative governance	N/A	0.49 ± 0.35
Sub-national governance		0.26 ± 0.37
Joint governance		0.21 ± 0.65