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. 2025 Jan 24;14(1):46–57. doi: 10.1302/2046-3758.141.BJR-2024-0134.R1

Table V.

Implant failure predictive model performance in the Swedish Arthroplasty Register.

Outcome Model performance: AUC in % (95% CI)
Random forest Gradient boosting machine Ridge regression Lasso regression Logistic regression Classification tree Classification tree with pruning
Revision due to PPFF
30 days 0.83
(0.79 to 0.88)
0.84
(0.80 to 0.88)
0.83
(0.79 to 0.88)
0.85
(0.81 to 0.89)*
0.83
(0.78 to 0.88)
0.82
(0.78 to 0.85)
0.82
(0.78 to 0.85)
60 days 0.81
(0.76 to 0.86)
0.86
(0.83 to 0.89)*
0.85
(0.81 to 0.89)
0.85
(0.81 to 0.89)
0.85
(0.81 to 0.89)
0.84
(0.80 to 0.87)
0.84
(0.80 to 0.87)
90 days 0.80
(0.75 to 0.85)
0.86
(0.82 to 0.89)*
0.84
(0.81 to 0.88)
0.84
(0.80 to 0.88)
0.82
(0.76 to 0.87)
0.83
(0.80 to 0.86)
0.83
(0.80 to 0.86)
1 year 0.71
(0.65 to 0.77)
0.80
(0.75 to 0.85)*
0.79
(0.74 to 0.84)
0.79
(0.74 to 0.84)
0.79
(0.73 to 0.84)
0.76
(0.71 to 0.82)
0.76
(0.71 to 0.82)
Reoperation due to PPFF
30 days 0.77
(0.69 to 0.84)
0.84
(0.79 to 0.89)*
0.83
(0.78 to 0.88)
0.83
(0.78 to 0.88)
0.83
(0.77 to 0.88)
0.80
(0.74 to 0.85)
0.80
(0.74 to 0.85)
60 days 0.80
(0.75 to 0.86)
0.86
(0.83 to 0.89)*
0.85
(0.81 to 0.89)
0.85
(0.81 to 0.89)
0.85
(0.81 to 0.89)
0.82
(0.78 to 0.86)
0.82
(0.78 to 0.86)
90 days 0.76
(0.69 to 0.82)
0.85
(0.81 to 0.88)*
0.83
(0.80 to 0.87)
0.83
(0.78 to 0.87)
0.81
(0.76 to 0.86)
0.80
(0.76 to 0.84)
0.80
(0.76 to 0.84)
1 year 0.66
(0.60 to 0.73)
0.79
(0.74 to 0.84)*
0.78
(0.73 to 0.83)
0.78
(0.73 to 0.83)
0.77
(0.72 to 0.82)
0.71
(0.66 to 0.76)
0.71
(0.66 to 0.76)
*

Best-performing model for each outcome.

AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; PPFF, periprosthetic femoral fracture.