Table V.
Implant failure predictive model performance in the Swedish Arthroplasty Register.
| Outcome | Model performance: AUC in % (95% CI) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Random forest | Gradient boosting machine | Ridge regression | Lasso regression | Logistic regression | Classification tree | Classification tree with pruning | |
| Revision due to PPFF | |||||||
| 30 days | 0.83 (0.79 to 0.88) |
0.84 (0.80 to 0.88) |
0.83 (0.79 to 0.88) |
0.85 (0.81 to 0.89)* |
0.83 (0.78 to 0.88) |
0.82 (0.78 to 0.85) |
0.82 (0.78 to 0.85) |
| 60 days | 0.81 (0.76 to 0.86) |
0.86 (0.83 to 0.89)* |
0.85 (0.81 to 0.89) |
0.85 (0.81 to 0.89) |
0.85 (0.81 to 0.89) |
0.84 (0.80 to 0.87) |
0.84 (0.80 to 0.87) |
| 90 days | 0.80 (0.75 to 0.85) |
0.86 (0.82 to 0.89)* |
0.84 (0.81 to 0.88) |
0.84 (0.80 to 0.88) |
0.82 (0.76 to 0.87) |
0.83 (0.80 to 0.86) |
0.83 (0.80 to 0.86) |
| 1 year | 0.71 (0.65 to 0.77) |
0.80 (0.75 to 0.85)* |
0.79 (0.74 to 0.84) |
0.79 (0.74 to 0.84) |
0.79 (0.73 to 0.84) |
0.76 (0.71 to 0.82) |
0.76 (0.71 to 0.82) |
| Reoperation due to PPFF | |||||||
| 30 days | 0.77 (0.69 to 0.84) |
0.84 (0.79 to 0.89)* |
0.83 (0.78 to 0.88) |
0.83 (0.78 to 0.88) |
0.83 (0.77 to 0.88) |
0.80 (0.74 to 0.85) |
0.80 (0.74 to 0.85) |
| 60 days | 0.80 (0.75 to 0.86) |
0.86 (0.83 to 0.89)* |
0.85 (0.81 to 0.89) |
0.85 (0.81 to 0.89) |
0.85 (0.81 to 0.89) |
0.82 (0.78 to 0.86) |
0.82 (0.78 to 0.86) |
| 90 days | 0.76 (0.69 to 0.82) |
0.85 (0.81 to 0.88)* |
0.83 (0.80 to 0.87) |
0.83 (0.78 to 0.87) |
0.81 (0.76 to 0.86) |
0.80 (0.76 to 0.84) |
0.80 (0.76 to 0.84) |
| 1 year | 0.66 (0.60 to 0.73) |
0.79 (0.74 to 0.84)* |
0.78 (0.73 to 0.83) |
0.78 (0.73 to 0.83) |
0.77 (0.72 to 0.82) |
0.71 (0.66 to 0.76) |
0.71 (0.66 to 0.76) |
Best-performing model for each outcome.
AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; PPFF, periprosthetic femoral fracture.