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. 2025 Jan 7;51(1):106–114. doi: 10.1007/s00134-024-07758-0

Table 3.

Comparison of adjusted for aggressive SBT (pressure support 7 cm H2O or pressure support 8 cm H2O + 5 cm H2O PEEP) diagnostic accuracy for reintubation at 7 days of the three models including 2341 patients recruited in five randomized trials [11, 12, 14, 15, 19]

Se Sp PPV NPV Youden Kappa
3 Factors model 90.37% 17.56% 18.65% 89.71% 0.08 0.03
4 Factors model 93.33% 13.58% 18.43% 90.69% 0.07 0.03
11 Factors model 96.05% 10.18% 18.28% 92.49% 0.06 0.02

Se sensitivity; Sp specificity; PPV positive predictive value; NPV negative predictive value

The 3-factors model included the following risk factors: age > 65y, chronic heart or pulmonary disease. The 4-factors model included the following risk factors: age > 65y, chronic heart or pulmonary disease, and prolonged mechanical ventilation. The 11-factors model included the following risk factors: age > 65 years, ≥ 2 comorbidities, prolonged mechanical ventilation, acute heart failure as the primary indication for mechanical ventilation, moderate-to-severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, APACHE II score > 12 on extubation day, airway patency problems, inability to deal with respiratory secretions, not simple weaning, obesity, or hypercapnia at the end of the spontaneous breathing trial