Table 6.
Backward logistic regression model predicting death of patients having acute cholecystitis during the COVID-19 Pandemic
| Selected Variables | Coefficient | SE | Wald | P value | OR | LL CI 95% | UL 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COVID-19 Disease | 1.65 | 0.33 | 24.67 | < 0.001 | 5.21 | 2.72 | 9.99 |
| Malignancy | 0.75 | 0.46 | 2.99 | 0.08 | 2.12 | 0.9 | 4.98 |
| PIPAS severity score | 0.02 | 0.01 | 3.69 | 0.06 | 1.03 | 1 | 1.05 |
| Treatment | 18.08 | 0.003 | |||||
| Conservative treatment | − 0.93 | 0.69 | 1.81 | 0.18 | 0.39 | 0.10 | 1.53 |
| Conservative treatment and delayed LC | − 17.39 | 3099.5 | 0 | 0.99 | 0 | ||
| ERCP ± sphincterotomy and delayed LC | 0.46 | 0.54 | 0.72 | 0.40 | 1.58 | 0.55 | 4.555 |
| *Cholecystostomy/ percutaneous drainage of gallbladder | − 1.01 | 0.51 | 3.96 | 0.047 | 0.36 | 0.135 | 0.985 |
| Urgent LC | 0.31 | 0.54 | 0.33 | 0.57 | 1.364 | 0.474 | 3.925 |
| Adequate source control | − 1.96 | 0.38 | 27.38 | < 0.001 | 0.14 | 0.07 | 0.29 |
| Postoperative Complications | 1.85 | 0.32 | 33.68 | < 0.001 | 6.34 | 3.40 | 11.82 |
| Constant | − 2.54 | 0.50 | 25.67 | < 0.001 | 0.079 |
LC Laparoscopic Cholecystectomy; ERCP endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography; PIPAS score Physiological Indicators for Prognosis in Abdominal Sepsis score [https://wjes.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s13017-019-0253-2/tables/5]
*Compared with urgent open cholecystectomy