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. 2025 Feb 17;81:103086. doi: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2025.103086

Table 2.

FEP Crude Incidence Rates and adjusted Incidence Rate Ratios, overall and stratified by year, sex and ethnicity.

Reference population (18–64) Cases Incidence rates IR (95% CI) IRR (95% CI)
Year
 2018/19 914,643 537 58.71 53.75–63.68 1.00
 2019/20 655 71.61 66.13–77.10 1.22 (1.09–1.37)
 2020/21 709 77.51 71.81–83.22 1.32 (1.18–1.48)
 2021/22 705 77.07 71.39–82.77 1.31 (1.17–1.47)
 2022/23 611 66.80 61.51–72.10 1.14 (1.02–1.28)
 2023/24 535 58.49 53.54–63.44 1.00 (0.89–1.12)
 6-year total 5,487,858 3752 68.40 66.20–70.60 1.16 (1.06–1.27)
Sex: Females
 2018/19 Females 477,137 213 44.64 38.65–50.64 1.00
 2019/20 Females 290 60.78 53.78–67.77 1.36 (1.20–1.52)
 2020/21 Females 307 64.34 57.14–71.54 1.44 (1.28–1.60)
 2021/22 Females 301 63.08 55.96–70.21 1.41 (1.25–1.57)
 2022/23 Females 250 52.40 45.9–58.89 1.17 (1.03–1.32)
 2023/24 Females 215 45.06 39.04–51.08 1.01 (0.87–1.14)
 6-year Females 2,862,822 1576 55.05 52.33–57.77 1.23 (1.17–1.29)
Sex: Males
 2018/19 Males 437,506 324 74.06 65.99–82.12 1.00
 2019/20 Males 365 83.43 74.87–91.99 1.13 (1.01–1.24)
 2020/21 Males 402 91.88 82.9–100.87 1.24 (1.12–1.36)
 2021/22 Males 404 92.34 83.34–101.35 1.25 (1.13–1.37)
 2022/23 Males 361 82.51 74–91.03 1.11 (1.00–1.23)
 2023/24 Males 320 73.14 65.13–81.16 0.99 (0.88–1.10)
 6-year Males 2,625,036 2176 82.89 79.41–86.38 1.12 (1.07–1.17)
Ethnicity: White British
 2018/19 White British 337,245 126 37.36 30.84–43.89 1.00
 2019/20 White British 145 42.99 36–49.99 1.15 (0.96–1.34)
 2020/21 White British 157 46.55 39.27–53.84 1.25 (1.05–1.44)
 2021/22 White British 128 37.95 31.38–44.53 1.02 (0.84–1.19)
 2022/23 White British 121 35.88 29.49–42.27 0.96 (0.79–1.13)
 2023/24 White British 118 34.99 28.68–41.30 0.94 (0.77–1.11)
 6-year White British 2,023,470 795 39.48 36.56–42.02 1.06 (0.98–1.12)
White Other
 2018/19 White Other 154,070 68 44.13 33.65–54.56 1.00
 2019/20 White Other 74 48.03 37.09–58.97 1.09 (0.84–1.34)
 2020/21 White Other 90 58.42 46.35–70.48 1.32 (1.05–1.60)
 2021/22 White Other 89 57.77 45.76–69.77 1.31 (1.04–1.58)
 2022/23 White Other 68 44.14 33.65–54.63 1.00 (0.76–1.24)
 2023/24 White Other 70 45.43 34.79–56.08 1.03 (0.79–1.27)
 6-year White Other 924,420 459 49.65 45.11–54.20 1.13 (1.02–1.23)
Asian
 2018/19 Asian 106,556 52 48.80 35.54–62.06 1.00
 2019/20 Asian 55 51.62 37.97–65.26 1.06 (0.78–1.34)
 2020/21 Asian 50 46.92 33.92–59.93 0.96 (0.70–1.23)
 2021/22 Asian 80 75.08 58.63–91.53 1.54 (1.20–1.88)
 2022/23 Asian 65 61 46.17–75.83 1.25 (0.95–1.55)
 2023/24 Asian 48 45.05 32.30–57.79 0.92 (0.66–1.18)
 6-year Asian 639,336 350 54.74 49.01–60.48 1.12 (1.00–1.24)
Black
 2018/19 Black 212,075 214 100.91 87.39–114.43 1.00
 2019/20 Black 293 138.16 122.34–153.98 1.37 (1.21–1.53)
 2020/21 Black 311 146.65 130.35–162.94 1.45 (1.29–1.61)
 2021/22 Black 309 145.70 129.46–161.95 1.44 (1.28–1.61)
 2022/23 Black 259 122.13 107.25–137.00 1.21 (1.06–1.36)
 2023/24 Black 236 111.28 97.08–125.48 1.10 (0.96–1.24)
 6-year Black 1,272,450 1622 126.19 120.01–132.37 1.25 (1.19–1.31)
Mixed
 2018/19 Mixed 55,760 37 66.36 44.97–87.74 1.00
 2019/20 Mixed 34 60.98 40.48–81.47 0.92 (0.61–1.23)
 2020/21 Mixed 37 66.36 44.97–87.74 1.00 (0.68–1.32)
 2021/22 Mixed 37 66.36 44.97–87.74 1.00 (0.68–1.32)
 2022/23 Mixed 39 69.94 47.99–91.89 1.05 (0.72–1.38)
 2023/24 Mixed 24 43.04 25.82–60.26 0.65 (0.39–0.91)
 6-year Mixed 334,560 208 62.17 53.72–70.62 0.94 (0.81–1.06)
Other
 2018/19 Other 48,520 34 70.07 46.52–93.63 1.00
 2019/20 Other 50 103.05 74.49–131.61 1.47 (1.06–1.88)
 2020/21 Other 51 105.11 76.26–133.96 1.50 (1.09–1.91)
 2021/22 Other 52 107.17 78.04–136.30 1.53 (1.11–1.95)
 2022/23 Other 48 98.93 70.94–126.92 1.41 (1.01–1.81)
 2023/24 Other 31 63.89 41.40–86.38 0.91 (0.59–1.23)
 6-year Other 291,120 266 91.37 80.39–102.35 1.30 (1.15–1.46)

Note: IR, Incidence Rate; IRR, Incidence Rate Ratio; CI, Confidence Interval.