Table 2.
Estimated relative changes comparing estimated healthcare volume in obstetrics and gynecology to the counterfactual had the pandemic not happened
| Time period | Feb 2020 (COVID-19 Lockdown) | Mar 2020 (post-lockdown initial re-opening period) | Apr 2020– Dec 2021 (post-lockdown recovery period quarterly change in volume) | Feb 2020– Dec 2021 (overall volume during the period) | Dec 2021 (last month in the observation period) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimates | IRR (95% CI) | p-Value | IRR (95% CI) | p-Value | IRR (95% CI) | p-Value | IRR (95% CI) | p-Value | IRR (95% CI) | p-Value |
| Obstetrics | ||||||||||
| Outpatient | 0.45 (0.42, 0.47) | < 0.001 | 0.78 (0.73, 0.82) | < 0.001 | 1.02 (1.02, 1.03) | < 0.001 | 0.80 (0.75, 0.85) | < 0.001 | 0.86 (0.80, 0.94) | < 0.001 |
| Surgery | 0.72 (0.68, 0.77) | < 0.001 | 0.77 (0.71, 0.83) | < 0.001 | 1.03 (1.01, 1.05) | 0.001 | 0.81 (0.77, 0.87) | < 0.001 | 0.88 (0.82, 0.95) | < 0.001 |
| Inpatient | 0.69 (0.65, 0.73) | < 0.001 | 0.82 (0.77, 0.87) | < 0.001 | 0.98 (0.96, 0.99) | 0.002 | 0.77 (0.73, 0.81) | < 0.001 | 0.73 (0.68, 0.79) | < 0.001 |
| Gynecology | ||||||||||
| Outpatient | 0.13 (0.11, 0.14) | < 0.001 | 0.82 (0.72, 0.94) | 0.004 | 1.02 (0.99, 1.05) | 0.164 | 0.82 (0.74, 0.90) | < 0.001 | 0.90 (0.82, 0.99) | 0.007 |
| Surgery | 0.25 (0.22, 0.29) | < 0.001 | 1.01 (0.89, 1.14) | 0.932 | 1.01 (0.99, 1.04) | 0.336 | 1.00 (0.91, 1.09) | 0.458 | 1.07 (0.96, 1.18) | 0.881 |
| Inpatient | 0.25 (0.21, 0.29) | < 0.001 | 1.09 (0.94, 1.26) | 0.263 | 1.02 (1.00, 1.05) | 0.107 | 1.10 (0.95, 1.25) | 0.902 | 1.20 (1.03, 1.39) | 0.989 |