Table 3.
Model adequacy results for models of increasing complexity. The CV mean logarithmic score, and the Deviation Information Criteria (DIC).
| Model | Log(
|
CV log score | DIC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baseline model (season random effect and spatial) | 7.1457755 | 492,283.86 |
| 2 | Season random effect and spatial and linear effect of the covariates in the model | 7.141517 | 491,965.40 |
| 3 | Season random effect and spatial and nonlinear effect of the covariates in the model using random walk terms | 7.141823 | 491,961.92 |
